Delfín vs Vinotinto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
04/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.60
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
77% (284/371)69% (231/336)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.091.96
Total shots
186
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
2624
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
77% (284/371)69% (231/336)
Long passes
44% (32/73)42% (29/69)
Passes in final third
64% (71/111)62% (74/120)
Crosses
18% (4/22)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.361.24
Throw-ins
1417
Fouls
1412
Tackles
79% (15/19)89% (16/18)
Duels won
5564
Clearances
2629
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
1.961.09
Goals prevented
-1.04-1.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Mendoza E. , Gallardo N. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 1, Monti R. , Luna D. (A),
  • 33', Vega E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Cabeza E. , Batalla H. ,
  • 47', 2 - 1, Perez Tica J. , Vega E. (A),
  • 49', Ushina K. 🟨,
  • 52', 3 - 1, Mendoza E. ,
  • 61', Rodriguez E. , Gomez L. ,
  • 61', Coba K. , Larotonda C. ,
  • 61', Ushina K. , Mina A. ,
  • 67', Hernandez E. 🟨,
  • 71', 3 - 2, Monti R. ,
  • 75', 3 - 3, Ibarra R. ,
  • 80', Perez Tica J. , Nazareno J. ,
  • 80', Reyes M. , Vivar J. ,
  • 84', Julio M. , Melo A. ,
  • 86', Hernandez E. 🟨,
  • 88', Luna D. , Iriarte I. ,

Chances of winning


Delfín
51.8%
Draw
27.6%
Vinotinto
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.1% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 28.2% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Delfín's performance.
  • Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vinotinto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Delfín that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Delfín - Vinotinto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.18)
    3.42
    (3.21)
    4.7
    (3.32)
    5.8%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Delfín - Vinotinto?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Vinotinto (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Delfín will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Delfín will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Delfín (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Vinotinto (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.
    • Delfín could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Delfín won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - Vinotinto were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Vinotinto - Delfín 5:0
    Latest results of Delfín
    26.07.2025 SD Aucas - Delfín 2:1
    13.07.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín 1:1
    06.07.2025 Delfín - LDU Quito 0:4
    Latest results of Vinotinto
    26.07.2025 Vinotinto - Orense 0:1
    13.07.2025 Vinotinto - Mushuc Runa 1:1
    05.07.2025 Emelec - Vinotinto 2:0
    30.06.2025 Vinotinto - SD Aucas 0:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle1291222:13928
    2U. Catolica1264221:81322
    3Barcelona SC1255213:10320
    4Aucas1254314:11319
    5Guayaquil City1253410:11-118
    6LDU Quito1252510:10017
    7Dep. Cuenca1252514:16-217
    8Mushuc Runa1244415:13216
    9Macara1244413:12116
    10Orense1244417:17016
    11Delfin124355:6-115
    12Emelec124269:15-614
    13Leones del Norte1234510:12-213
    14Libertad1234511:16-513
    15Tecnico U123279:13-411
    16Manta122284:14-108

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )