Result
3:3
06/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 32
- Referee: Giua A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (431/496) | 81% (259/318) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (431/496) | 81% (259/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (15/36) | 48% (16/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (118/161) | 78% (72/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.00 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 31 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.63 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Lasagna K. ⚽, Maita M. (A),
- 44', 1 - 1, Iemmello P. ⚽, Petriccione J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Pagano R. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
- 46', Cassandro T. ↓, Situm M. ↑,
- 58', Pereiro G. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
- 66', Pittarello F. ↓, Biasci T. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Bonini F. ⚽, Petriccione J. (A),
- 69', Radunovic B. 🟨,
- 75', Petriccione J. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Favasuli C. ⚽, Falletti C. (A),
- 80', Lasagna K. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 2, Quagliata G. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
- 87', Maita M. ↓, Oliveri A. ↑,
- 87', Maggiore G. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 3, Favilli A. ⚽, Bonfanti N. (A),
Chances of winning
Catanzaro
41.4% | Draw
29.9% | Bari
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Catanzaro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Catanzaro - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.26) |
3.13 ↓
(3.17) |
3.28 ↑
(3.23) |
6.6%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Bari?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 1.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Bari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Catanzaro will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: D'Alessandro M.
(Injury)
La Mantia A.
(Injury)
Matias Antonini
(Injury)
Pontisso S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bari: Lella N.
(Inactive)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Bari?
Catanzaro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Catanzaro?
Bari has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Bari were as follows:
18.10.2024
Bari
-
Catanzaro
1:1
27.02.2024
Catanzaro
-
Bari
2:0
24.09.2023
Bari
-
Catanzaro
2:2
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Monza | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Cesena | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Palermo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Venezia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Pescara | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Catanzaro | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 | Spezia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 20 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
