Catanzaro vs Bari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Catanzaro - Bari
Result
3:3
06/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 32
  • Referee: Giua A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyDAZN Italia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.21
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
87% (431/496)81% (259/318)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.21
xG on target (xGOT)
2.161.37
Total shots
139
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
3124
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
125
Passes
87% (431/496)81% (259/318)
Long passes
42% (15/36)48% (16/33)
Passes in final third
73% (118/161)78% (72/92)
Crosses
27% (9/33)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.211.00
Fouls
512
Tackles
44% (8/18)56% (9/16)
Duels won
4331
Clearances Total
2440
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.372.16
Goals prevented
-1.63-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Lasagna K. , Maita M. (A),
  • 44', 1 - 1, Iemmello P. , Petriccione J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Pagano R. , Ilie R. ,
  • 46', Cassandro T. , Situm M. ,
  • 58', Pereiro G. , Falletti C. ,
  • 66', Pittarello F. , Biasci T. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Bonini F. , Petriccione J. (A),
  • 69', Radunovic B. 🟨,
  • 75', Petriccione J. , Coulibaly M. ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Favasuli C. , Falletti C. (A),
  • 80', Lasagna K. , Favilli A. ,
  • 83', 3 - 2, Quagliata G. , Ilie R. (A),
  • 87', Maita M. , Oliveri A. ,
  • 87', Maggiore G. , Bonfanti N. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Favilli A. , Bonfanti N. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Catanzaro
41.4%
Draw
29.9%
Bari
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 29.5% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 28.7% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Catanzaro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Catanzaro - Bari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.26)
    3.13
    (3.17)
    3.28
    (3.23)
    6.6%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Bari?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Bari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Catanzaro will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Catanzaro: D'Alessandro M. (Injury) La Mantia A. (Injury) Matias Antonini (Injury) Pontisso S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bari: Lella N. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Bari were as follows:
    18.10.2024 Bari - Catanzaro 1:1
    27.02.2024 Catanzaro - Bari 2:0
    24.09.2023 Bari - Catanzaro 2:2
    Latest results of Catanzaro
    29.03.2025 Modena - Catanzaro 2:1
    08.03.2025 Cremonese - Catanzaro 4:0
    02.03.2025 Catanzaro - Reggiana 1:1
    23.02.2025 Spezia - Catanzaro 0:1
    14.02.2025 Catanzaro - Cittadella 1:0
    Latest results of Bari
    30.03.2025 Carrarese - Bari 2:1
    15.03.2025 Bari - Salernitana 0:0
    09.03.2025 Sassuolo - Bari 1:1
    02.03.2025 Bari - Sampdoria 1:1
    22.02.2025 Mantova - Bari 0:1
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2