Result
3:3
06/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 32
- Referee: Giua A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.26 | 1.21 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
87% (431/496) | 81% (259/318) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.26 | 1.21 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.16 | 1.37 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 24 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
87% (431/496) | 81% (259/318) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (15/36) | 48% (16/33) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (118/161) | 78% (72/92) |
Crosses |
---|
27% (9/33) | 32% (7/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.21 | 1.00 |
Fouls |
---|
5 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
44% (8/18) | 56% (9/16) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 31 |
Clearances Total |
---|
24 | 40 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.37 | 2.16 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.63 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Lasagna K. ⚽, Maita M. (A),
- 44', 1 - 1, Iemmello P. ⚽, Petriccione J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Pagano R. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
- 46', Cassandro T. ↓, Situm M. ↑,
- 58', Pereiro G. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
- 66', Pittarello F. ↓, Biasci T. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Bonini F. ⚽, Petriccione J. (A),
- 69', Radunovic B. 🟨,
- 75', Petriccione J. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Favasuli C. ⚽, Falletti C. (A),
- 80', Lasagna K. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 2, Quagliata G. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
- 87', Maita M. ↓, Oliveri A. ↑,
- 87', Maggiore G. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 3, Favilli A. ⚽, Bonfanti N. (A),
Chances of winning
Catanzaro 41.4% | Draw 29.9% | Bari 28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Catanzaro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Catanzaro - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↑ (2.26) |
3.13 ↓ (3.17) |
3.28 ↑ (3.23) |
6.6% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Bari?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 1.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Bari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Catanzaro will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: D'Alessandro M.
(Injury)
La Mantia A.
(Injury)
Matias Antonini
(Injury)
Pontisso S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bari: Lella N.
(Inactive)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Bari?
Catanzaro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Catanzaro?
Bari has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Bari were as follows:
18.10.2024
Bari
-
Catanzaro
1:1
27.02.2024
Catanzaro
-
Bari
2:0
24.09.2023
Bari
-
Catanzaro
2:2
Latest results of Catanzaro
Draw
Play OutFinal1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |