Result
1:2
19/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 17
- Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (281/331) | 90% (520/581) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (281/331) | 90% (520/581) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 43% (17/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (54/78) | 76% (109/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 10% (3/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Pontisso S. ⚽, Iemmello P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gytkjaer C. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
- 46', Burgio R. ↓, Mane M. ↑,
- 46', Favasuli C. 🟨,
- 49', 0 - 2, Matias Antonini ⚽, Petriccione J. (A),
- 60', Favasuli C. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
- 62', Rao E. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
- 71', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
- 71', Cisse A. ↓, Liberali M. ↑,
- 71', Petriccione J. ↓, Rispoli F. ↑,
- 77', Nikolaou D. 🟨,
- 80', Kassama S. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
- 81', Pontisso S. ↓, Alesi G. ↑,
- 82', Brighenti N. 🟨,
- 86', Rispoli F. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Bellomo N. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Bari
31% | Draw
31.7% | Catanzaro
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Bari - Catanzaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.8) |
2.96 ↓
(3.1) |
2.53 ↓
(2.56) |
6.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bari - Catanzaro?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.9% – 64.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Bari (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Bari (2.15) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Catanzaro (3.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bari (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Catanzaro (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1.
- Bari is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Catanzaro is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Bari: Bellomo N.
(Inactive)
Castrovilli G.
(Inactive)
Cerri L.
(Inactive)
Darboe E.
(Thigh Injury)
Dorval M.
(International duty)
Vicari F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Buglio D.
(Inactive)
Di Francesco F.
(Inactive)
Pompetti M.
(Shin Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bari won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Catanzaro?
Bari has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Bari?
Catanzaro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Catanzaro were as follows:
06.04.2025
Catanzaro
-
Bari
3:3
18.10.2024
Bari
-
Catanzaro
1:1
27.02.2024
Catanzaro
-
Bari
2:0
24.09.2023
Bari
-
Catanzaro
2:2
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 51:40 | 11 | 54 |
| 6 | Modena | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 44:29 | 15 | 51 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
