Bari vs Catanzaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio San Nicola (Bari).

Serie B - Round 17
Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.00	0.68
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
3	9
Passes
85% (281/331)	90% (520/581)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00	0.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.21	1.58
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
3	9
Touches in opposition box
12	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
14	17
Passes
85% (281/331)	90% (520/581)
Long passes
36% (8/22)	43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
69% (54/78)	76% (109/143)
Crosses
20% (4/20)	10% (3/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.26	1.15
Throw-ins
17	17
Fouls
17	14
Tackles
67% (8/12)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
33	43
Clearances
40	15
Interceptions
9	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.58	1.21
Goals prevented
-0.42	0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Pontisso S. ⚽, Iemmello P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gytkjaer C. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
46', Burgio R. ↓, Mane M. ↑,
46', Favasuli C. 🟨,
49', 0 - 2, Matias Antonini ⚽, Petriccione J. (A),
60', Favasuli C. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
62', Rao E. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
71', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
71', Cisse A. ↓, Liberali M. ↑,
71', Petriccione J. ↓, Rispoli F. ↑,
77', Nikolaou D. 🟨,
80', Kassama S. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
81', Pontisso S. ↓, Alesi G. ↑,
82', Brighenti N. 🟨,
86', Rispoli F. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Bellomo N. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bari
31%

Draw
31.7%

Catanzaro
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

30.1%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

29.5%

37.2%

Bari - Catanzaro Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.8)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)	2.53 ↓ (2.56)	6.4% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bari - Catanzaro?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.9% – 64.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Bari (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Bari (2.15) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Catanzaro (3.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Bari (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Catanzaro (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1.
Bari is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Catanzaro is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Bari: Bellomo N. (Inactive) Castrovilli G. (Inactive) Cerri L. (Inactive) Darboe E. (Thigh Injury) Dorval M. (International duty) Vicari F. (Inactive)
There will not play in Catanzaro: Buglio D. (Inactive) Di Francesco F. (Inactive) Pompetti M. (Shin Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bari won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Catanzaro?

Bari has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Bari?

Catanzaro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Catanzaro were as follows:

06.04.2025 Catanzaro - Bari 3:3

18.10.2024 Bari - Catanzaro 1:1

27.02.2024 Catanzaro - Bari 2:0

24.09.2023 Bari - Catanzaro 2:2

Latest results of Bari

13.12.2025 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari 0:0 ✺

08.12.2025 Bari - Pescara 1:1 ✺

04.12.2025 Juve Stabia - Bari 0:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Empoli - Bari 5:0 ✺

22.11.2025 Bari - Frosinone 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Catanzaro

13.12.2025 Catanzaro - Avellino 1:0 ✺

08.12.2025 Modena - Catanzaro 1:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Catanzaro - Virtus Entella 3:2 ✺

21.11.2025 Catanzaro - Pescara 3:3 ✺

08.11.2025 Empoli - Catanzaro 1:0 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	24	15	5	4	46:22	24	50
2	Monza	23	14	5	4	36:19	17	47
3	Frosinone	23	13	7	3	41:21	20	46
4	Palermo	24	12	9	3	39:19	20	45
5	Catanzaro	24	10	8	6	32:26	6	38
6	Modena	24	10	7	7	31:19	12	37
7	Cesena	24	11	4	9	32:30	2	37
8	Juve Stabia	23	8	11	4	27:26	1	35
9	Carrarese	24	7	9	8	31:33	-2	30
10	Sudtirol	23	6	11	6	24:23	1	29
11	Padova	24	7	8	9	25:30	-5	29
12	Empoli	23	7	7	9	28:31	-3	28
13	Avellino	23	7	7	9	28:37	-9	28
14	Sampdoria	24	6	8	10	26:32	-6	26
15	Entella	24	5	10	9	23:31	-8	25
16	Reggiana	24	6	6	12	26:34	-8	24
17	Mantova	24	6	5	13	24:38	-14	23
18	Spezia	23	5	6	12	20:30	-10	21
19	Bari	23	4	8	11	19:36	-17	20
20	Pescara	24	2	9	13	27:48	-21	15

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation