Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 34
- Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (286/337) | 88% (408/465) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (286/337) | 88% (408/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (22/36) | 44% (18/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (92/115) | 73% (59/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Petriccione J. 🟨,
- 10', Russo R. 🟨,
- 29', Sounas D. 🟨,
- 31', Petriccione J. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
- 40', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kumi J. ↓, Missori F. ↑,
- 56', Brighenti N. 🟨,
- 60', 0 - 1, Iemmello P. ⚽, Pontisso S. (A),
- 63', Biasci T. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
- 63', Palumbo M. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
- 64', Cancellotti T. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
- 66', Pontisso S. 🟨,
- 72', Di Francesco F. 🟨,
- 75', Brighenti N. 🟨,
- 76', Favilli A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 79', Pontisso S. ↓, Buglio D. ↑,
- 79', Di Francesco F. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
- 79', Liberali M. ↓, Esteves G. ↑,
- 79', Sounas D. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
- 86', Fellipe Jack ↓, Verrengia B. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Iannarilli A. ⚽, Insigne R. (A),
- 90+6', Iannarilli A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avellino
35.4% | Draw
29.9% | Catanzaro
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Avellino - Catanzaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.57) |
3.12 ↓
(3.3) |
2.69 ↑
(2.57) |
7.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avellino - Catanzaro?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Avellino: Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Izzo A.
(Red Card)
Marson L.
(Inactive)
Reale F.
(Muscle Injury)
Sgarbi L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Alesi G.
(Red Card)
Cassandro T.
(Yellow Cards)
Cisse A.
(Muscle Injury)
Pittarello F.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Avellino: Palmiero L.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Catanzaro?
Avellino has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Avellino?
Catanzaro has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Catanzaro were as follows:
13.12.2025
Catanzaro
-
Avellino
1:0
04.03.2023
Catanzaro
-
Avellino
4:1
16.11.2022
Catanzaro
-
Avellino
4:3
30.10.2022
Avellino
-
Catanzaro
2:2
Latest results of Avellino
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
