Result
4:3
19/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 38
- Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
Genoa
59.9% | Draw
24.4% | Bari
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Genoa's performance.Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genoa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Genoa - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.91) |
3.89 ↑
(3.62) |
5.88 ↑
(4) |
5.7%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Genoa - Bari?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Bari will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 18.5% – 61.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Genoa has the most likely position - 2 (100%), project points - 73, currently - 71, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Bari has the most likely position - 3 (100%), project points - 66, currently - 65, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (36%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 44, small importance 11, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
- In this match Genoa is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Genoa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Bari?
Genoa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Genoa?
Bari has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Bari were as follows:
26.12.2022
Bari
-
Genoa
1:2
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cesena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Modena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Carrarese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Venezia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Palermo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Monza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Entella | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Bari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Mantova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Padova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Pescara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Avellino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
