Genoa vs Bari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Genoa - Bari
Result
4:3
19/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 38
  • Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports
italyItalySky Sport

Highlights

Chances of winning


Genoa
59.9%
Draw
24.4%
Bari
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 26.4% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 26.1% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Genoa's performance.
  • Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genoa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Genoa - Bari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.91)
    3.89
    (3.62)
    5.88
    (4)
    5.7%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Genoa - Bari?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Bari will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 18.5%61.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Genoa has the most likely position - 2 (100%), project points - 73, currently - 71, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Bari has the most likely position - 3 (100%), project points - 66, currently - 65, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (36%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 44, small importance 11, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • In this match Genoa is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Genoa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Bari were as follows:
    26.12.2022 Bari - Genoa 1:2
    Latest results of Genoa
    13.05.2023 Frosinone - Genoa 3:2
    06.05.2023 Genoa - Ascoli 2:1
    22.04.2023 Cittadella - Genoa 0:1
    15.04.2023 Genoa - Perugia 2:0
    Latest results of Bari
    13.05.2023 Bari - Reggina 1:0
    06.05.2023 Modena - Bari 1:1
    01.05.2023 Bari - Cittadella 1:1
    23.04.2023 Pisa - Bari 1:2
    15.04.2023 Bari - Como 2:2
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2