Result
2:0
15/04/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 33
- Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
Genoa
61.9% | Draw
24.7% | Perugia
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Genoa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Genoa - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.5) |
3.85 ↑
(3.8) |
6.84 ↓
(6.88) |
5.9%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Genoa has the most likely position - 2 (69.28%), project points - 71, currently - 61, not chance of relegated, a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), a good chance of promoted (92%), a chance of win league (17%).
- Perugia has the most likely position - 16 (16.59%), project points - 42, currently - 34, a chance of relegated (36%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 37, importance 50, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Genoa in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Perugia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Genoa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Genoa is indisputable favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Genoa to win the game is with odds 1.53.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Genoa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Genoa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Perugia?
Genoa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Genoa?
Perugia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Perugia were as follows:
27.11.2022
Perugia
-
Genoa
1:0
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:42 | 11 | 55 |
| 6 | Modena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 46:31 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
