Result
4:3
19/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 38
- Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
Genoa
59.9% | Draw
24.4% | Bari
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Genoa's performance.Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genoa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Genoa - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.91) |
3.89 ↑
(3.62) |
5.88 ↑
(4) |
5.7%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Genoa - Bari?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Bari will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 18.5% – 61.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Genoa has the most likely position - 2 (100%), project points - 73, currently - 71, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Bari has the most likely position - 3 (100%), project points - 66, currently - 65, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (36%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 44, small importance 11, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
- In this match Genoa is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Genoa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Bari?
Genoa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Genoa?
Bari has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Bari were as follows:
26.12.2022
Bari
-
Genoa
1:2
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:42 | 11 | 55 |
| 6 | Modena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 46:31 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
