Result
4:3
19/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 38
- Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
Genoa
59.9% | Draw
24.4% | Bari
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Genoa's performance.Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genoa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Genoa - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.91) |
3.89 ↑
(3.62) |
5.88 ↑
(4) |
5.7%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Genoa - Bari?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Bari will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 18.5% – 61.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Genoa has the most likely position - 2 (100%), project points - 73, currently - 71, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Bari has the most likely position - 3 (100%), project points - 66, currently - 65, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (36%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 44, small importance 11, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
- In this match Genoa is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Genoa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Bari?
Genoa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Genoa?
Bari has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Bari were as follows:
26.12.2022
Bari
-
Genoa
1:2
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
