Bristol Rovers vs Barnet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League Two - Round 23
Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	1.64
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
7	10
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
59% (197/333)	53% (131/248)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	1.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.61	1.64
Total shots
7	10
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
2	9
Shots outside the Box
5	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
15	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
59% (197/333)	53% (131/248)
Long passes
35% (35/101)	27% (19/70)
Passes in final third
46% (58/126)	50% (56/113)
Crosses
14% (3/21)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.35	1.43
Throw-ins
37	34
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
80% (16/20)	71% (5/7)
Duels won
62	55
Clearances
33	55
Interceptions
6	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.64	0.61
Goals prevented
-0.36	0.61

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', Winterburn B. 🟨,
43', Mola C. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Senior A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Sparkes J. 🟨,
61', Shelton M. (Penalty Awarded),
61', McEachran J. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
63', Ofoborh N. 🟨,
74', Sotiriou R. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
75', Winterburn B. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
80', Thomas L. ↓, Chang A. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Glover R. ⚽, Kizzi J. (A),
87', Kilgour A. 🟨,
88', Ndlovu L. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
29.2%

Draw
27.5%

Barnet
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

27.9%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

26.2%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Bristol Rovers - Barnet Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.78)	3.37 ↑ (3.29)	2.15 ↑ (1.92)	7.4% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Barnet?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Barnet (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barnet will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barnet will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Barnet (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1.
Bristol Rovers is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Barnet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Barnet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Red Card) Omochere P. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Harrison E. (Inactive) Morton C. (Inactive) Senior J. (Injury) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Barnet: Adeniran D. (Inactive) Crichlow-Noble R. (Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Barnet?

Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Bristol Rovers?

Barnet has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Barnet were as follows:

09.12.2025 Barnet - Bristol Rovers 4:0

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

26.12.2025 Bristol Rovers - Bromley 2:3 ✺

19.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town 0:3 ✺

09.12.2025 Barnet - Bristol Rovers 4:0 ✺

06.12.2025 Port Vale - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Barnet

26.12.2025 Newport County - Barnet 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Barnet - Salford City 1:3 ✺

13.12.2025 Chesterfield - Barnet 3:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Barnet - Bristol Rovers 4:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Barnet - Harrogate Town 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	34	19	11	4	58:35	23	68
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
7	Salford	33	17	4	12	46:43	3	55
8	Chesterfield	34	13	14	7	52:44	8	53
9	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
10	Walsall	33	15	8	10	42:36	6	53
11	Grimsby	33	14	10	9	46:37	9	52
12	Colchester	33	13	10	10	48:35	13	49
13	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
14	Oldham	32	11	12	9	36:30	6	45
15	Fleetwood	33	12	9	12	43:42	1	45
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	34	9	8	17	46:59	-13	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
23	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27
24	Newport	34	6	7	21	32:60	-28	25

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League