Result
0:2
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 23
- Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (197/333) | 53% (131/248) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (197/333) | 53% (131/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (35/101) | 27% (19/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (58/126) | 50% (56/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 37 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 55 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', Winterburn B. 🟨,
- 43', Mola C. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Senior A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Sparkes J. 🟨,
- 61', Shelton M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', McEachran J. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
- 63', Ofoborh N. 🟨,
- 74', Sotiriou R. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
- 75', Winterburn B. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
- 80', Thomas L. ↓, Chang A. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 2, Glover R. ⚽, Kizzi J. (A),
- 87', Kilgour A. 🟨,
- 88', Ndlovu L. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
29.2% | Draw
27.5% | Barnet
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Bristol Rovers - Barnet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↓
(3.78) |
3.37 ↑
(3.29) |
2.15 ↑
(1.92) |
7.4%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Barnet?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barnet (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Barnet will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1.
- Bristol Rovers is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Barnet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Barnet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S.
(Red Card)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Harrison E.
(Inactive)
Morton C.
(Inactive)
Senior J.
(Injury)
Southam-Hales M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barnet: Adeniran D.
(Inactive)
Crichlow-Noble R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Barnet?
Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Bristol Rovers?
Barnet has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Barnet were as follows:
09.12.2025
Barnet
-
Bristol Rovers
4:0
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 40:26 | 14 | 45 |
| 2 | Swindon | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
| 3 | Walsall | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 32:21 | 11 | 43 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 44:25 | 19 | 40 |
| 5 | Salford | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | Notts Co | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 36:25 | 11 | 39 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 38 |
| 9 | Fleetwood | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Colchester | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 37:28 | 9 | 33 |
| 11 | Gillingham | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 31:26 | 5 | 32 |
| 12 | Barnet | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 32 |
| 13 | Crewe | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 34:31 | 3 | 32 |
| 14 | Oldham | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 23:18 | 5 | 31 |
| 15 | Grimsby | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 31 |
| 16 | Accrington | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26:26 | 0 | 30 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 37:37 | 0 | 29 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 21:37 | -16 | 27 |
| 19 | Barrow | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 24 |
| 20 | Crawley | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 27:40 | -13 | 19 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21:38 | -17 | 19 |
| 22 | Bristol Rovers | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 18:44 | -26 | 18 |
| 23 | Newport | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 17 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:37 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
