Bristol Rovers vs Barnet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League Two - Round 23
Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	1.64
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
7	10
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
59% (197/333)	53% (131/248)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	1.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.61	1.64
Total shots
7	10
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
2	9
Shots outside the Box
5	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
15	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
59% (197/333)	53% (131/248)
Long passes
35% (35/101)	27% (19/70)
Passes in final third
46% (58/126)	50% (56/113)
Crosses
14% (3/21)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.35	1.43
Throw-ins
37	34
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
80% (16/20)	71% (5/7)
Duels won
62	55
Clearances
33	55
Interceptions
6	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.64	0.61
Goals prevented
-0.36	0.61

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', Winterburn B. 🟨,
43', Mola C. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Senior A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Sparkes J. 🟨,
61', Shelton M. (Penalty Awarded),
61', McEachran J. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
63', Ofoborh N. 🟨,
74', Sotiriou R. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
75', Winterburn B. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
80', Thomas L. ↓, Chang A. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Glover R. ⚽, Kizzi J. (A),
87', Kilgour A. 🟨,
88', Ndlovu L. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
29.2%

Draw
27.5%

Barnet
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

27.9%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

26.2%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Bristol Rovers - Barnet Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.78)	3.37 ↑ (3.29)	2.15 ↑ (1.92)	7.4% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Barnet?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Barnet (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barnet will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barnet will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Barnet (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1.
Bristol Rovers is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Barnet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Barnet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Red Card) Omochere P. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Harrison E. (Inactive) Morton C. (Inactive) Senior J. (Injury) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Barnet: Adeniran D. (Inactive) Crichlow-Noble R. (Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Barnet?

Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Bristol Rovers?

Barnet has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Barnet were as follows:

09.12.2025 Barnet - Bristol Rovers 4:0

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

26.12.2025 Bristol Rovers - Bromley 2:3 ✺

19.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town 0:3 ✺

09.12.2025 Barnet - Bristol Rovers 4:0 ✺

06.12.2025 Port Vale - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Barnet

26.12.2025 Newport County - Barnet 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Barnet - Salford City 1:3 ✺

13.12.2025 Chesterfield - Barnet 3:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Barnet - Bristol Rovers 4:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Barnet - Harrogate Town 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League