Crawley Town vs Barnet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley).

League Two - Round 38
Referee: Wager H. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.94	1.27
Ball possession
63%	37%
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
5	10
Passes
70% (257/365)	52% (110/212)
Yellow cards
2	5
Expected goals (xG)
1.94	1.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.86	1.21
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked shots
5	3
Shots inside the box
8	5
Shots outside the box
6	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
5	10
Touches in opposition box
21	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
19	10
Passes
70% (257/365)	52% (110/212)
Long passes
42% (33/79)	23% (17/74)
Passes in final third
56% (74/132)	51% (57/112)
Crosses
33% (8/24)	38% (8/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.80	0.79
Throw ins
22	27
Fouls
10	19
Tackles
78% (7/9)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
57	52
Clearances
28	46
Interceptions
8	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.21	1.86
Goals prevented
0.21	0.86

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Glover R. 🟨,
45+1', Bajrami G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Shelton M. ⚽, Senior A. (A),
58', Tavares N. 🟨,
62', Lolos K. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
62', Russell J. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
69', Kanu I. 🟨,
72', Malone S. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,
76', Tshimanga K. ↓, Hartigan A. ↑,
81', Glover R. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑,
81', Kanu I. ↓, Browne R. ↑,
83', Pereira D. ↓, Adeyemo T. ↑,
88', Browne R. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Orsi-Dadomo D. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Crichlow-Noble R. 🟨,
90', Darcy R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crawley Town
28.1%

Draw
25.7%

Barnet
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27.8%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

27.3%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Crawley Town - Barnet Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.84)	3.61 ↑ (3.3)	2.03 ↓ (2.3)	6.9% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Barnet?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Barnet will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Barnet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Barnet will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M. (Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive) Vassell T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R. (Injury) Richards L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E. (Inactive) Smith K. (Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Barnet?

Crawley Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Crawley Town?

Barnet has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Barnet were as follows:

01.01.2026 Barnet - Crawley Town 2:1

Latest results of Crawley Town

13.03.2026 Colchester United - Crawley Town 0:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Crawley Town - Swindon Town 2:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Oldham Athletic - Crawley Town 2:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Crawley Town - Chesterfield 1:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Barnet

14.03.2026 Barnet - Newport County 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Salford City - Barnet 2:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Barnet - Chesterfield 1:0 ✺

24.02.2026 Accrington Stanley - Barnet 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Colchester United - Barnet 4:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League