Result
1:3
21/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 39
- Referee: Baines D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (185/325) | 48% (151/317) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 3.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (185/325) | 48% (151/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (17/74) | 16% (15/96) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (45/104) | 38% (45/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/19) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 81 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.08 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Mellish J. ⚽,
- 12', Kanu I. 🟨,
- 36', Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
- 45', Crichlow-Noble R. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Collinge D. ⚽, Shelton M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', 1 - 2, Tshimanga K. ⚽, Glover R. (A),
- 57', 1 - 3, Kanu I. ⚽,
- 62', Hepburn-Murphy R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 70', Ekpiteta M. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 70', Nemane A. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
- 74', Sanders J. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
- 87', Crichlow-Noble R. ↓, Kizzi J. ↑,
- 90+1', Jones G. 🟨,
- 90+2', Tshimanga K. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
- 90+9', Kanu I. ↓, Chinedu P. ↑,
- 90+9', Glover R. ↓, Hartigan A. ↑,
- 90+9', Stead C. ↓, Jaiyesimi D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
50.9% | Draw
26.6% | Barnet
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Milton Keynes Dons - Barnet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(1.93) |
3.51 ↑
(3.47) |
4.11 ↑
(3.59) |
7.2%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Barnet?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Milton Keynes Dons will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2.
- MK Dons has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Barnet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, MK Dons is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Matete J.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Paterson C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E.
(Inactive)
Smith K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).
- Including home match between the teams, MK Dons won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Barnet?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Barnet has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Barnet were as follows:
08.11.2025
Barnet
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:2
12.07.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Barnet
1:2
15.07.2023
Barnet
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:1
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
