Barnet vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Hive Stadium (London).

League Two - Round 15
Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.20	0.52
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
65% (194/300)	67% (200/297)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20	0.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.25	2.00
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
26	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
20	12
Passes
65% (194/300)	67% (200/297)
Long passes
23% (16/71)	43% (32/75)
Passes in final third
55% (77/140)	55% (49/89)
Crosses
15% (3/20)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.71	1.09
Throw-ins
24	26
Fouls
12	20
Tackles
54% (7/13)	74% (14/19)
Duels won
69	76
Clearances
27	45
Interceptions
2	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
2.00	1.25
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Senior A. ⚽, Ofoborh N. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Shelton M. (Pen),
39', 2 - 1, Sanders J. ⚽, Hepburn-Murphy R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mellish J. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
46', Collar W. ↓, Paterson C. ↑,
50', Mendez-Laing N. 🟨,
65', 2 - 2, Mendez-Laing N. ⚽,
68', Sanders J. 🟨,
71', Paterson C. 🟨,
71', Kanu I. 🟨,
72', Sanders J. ↓, Thompson N. ↑,
74', Winterburn B. ↓, Hartigan A. ↑,
75', Shelton M. ↓, Osadebe E. ↑,
79', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
83', Ndlovu L. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
83', Stead C. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
90+4', Thompson N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barnet
46.1%

Draw
25.5%

Milton Keynes Dons
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.4%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Barnet - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.99)	3.67 ↑ (3.5)	3.31 ↓ (3.45)	6.7% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Barnet - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnet: 35.9% – 97.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barnet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - MK Dons (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Barnet (votes: 1 - 50%). MK Dons (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, MK Dons has had a series of away games.
Barnet will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in MK Dons: Collins A. (Hamstring Injury) Jones G. (Hamstring Injury) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: MacGillivray C. (Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Barnet has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Barnet?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barnet - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

12.07.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Barnet 1:2

15.07.2023 Barnet - Milton Keynes Dons 1:1

Latest results of Barnet

01.11.2025 Fleetwood Town - Barnet 2:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Barrow - Barnet 2:2 ✺

21.10.2025 Barnet - Cambridge United 3:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Barnet - Notts County 0:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Barnet 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

01.11.2025 Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons 2:3 ✺

25.10.2025 Bromley - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra 3:0 ✺

11.10.2025 Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 0:4 ✺

07.10.2025 Reading - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	34	19	11	4	58:35	23	68
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
7	Salford	33	17	4	12	46:43	3	55
8	Chesterfield	34	13	14	7	52:44	8	53
9	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
10	Walsall	33	15	8	10	42:36	6	53
11	Grimsby	33	14	10	9	46:37	9	52
12	Colchester	33	13	10	10	48:35	13	49
13	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
14	Oldham	32	11	12	9	36:30	6	45
15	Fleetwood	33	12	9	12	43:42	1	45
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	34	9	8	17	46:59	-13	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
23	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27
24	Newport	34	6	7	21	32:60	-28	25

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League