Result
2:0
07/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 36
- Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 50% (144/286) | 63% (265/419) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.26 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 23 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
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| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 50% (144/286) | 63% (265/419) |
| Long passes |
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| 31% (30/96) | 20% (20/99) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 49% (59/121) | 49% (80/162) |
| Crosses |
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| 31% (4/13) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 37 |
| Fouls |
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| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
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| 69% (9/13) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 60 |
| Clearances |
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| 38 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 28', Mnoga H. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Longelo-Mbule R. ⚽, Grant J. (A),
- 45', 2 - 0, Butcher M. ⚽, Stockton C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Winterburn B. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑,
- 59', Jaiyesimi D. ↓, Hartigan A. ↑,
- 62', Awe Z. ↓, Cooper B. ↑,
- 77', Stead C. ↓, Shelton M. ↑,
- 77', Crichlow-Noble R. ↓, Chinedu P. ↑,
- 77', Stockton C. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
- 78', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
- 90+1', Glover R. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
- 90+3', Grant J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Grant J. ↓, Siri N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Salford City 35.7% | Draw 27.8% | Barnet 36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Salford City - Barnet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.62 ↑ (2.36) |
3.36 ↑ (3.27) |
2.56 ↓ (2.79) |
7.1% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Salford City - Barnet?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Barnet will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barnet (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 10)
- Salford has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Barnet has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Barnet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Salford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Barnet?
Salford City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Salford City?
Barnet has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Salford City - Barnet were as follows:
20.12.2025
Barnet
-
Salford City
1:3
Latest results of Salford City
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League