Barnsley vs Lincoln City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Oakwell (Barnsley).

League One - Round 23
Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.80	0.76
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
83% (443/532)	71% (231/327)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80	0.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.07	1.72
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
8	3
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
26	20
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
8	7
Passes
83% (443/532)	71% (231/327)
Long passes
48% (29/61)	31% (19/61)
Passes in final third
75% (122/163)	52% (46/88)
Crosses
35% (8/23)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.66	0.64
Throw-ins
37	19
Fouls
7	8
Tackles
60% (9/15)	58% (15/26)
Duels won
59	52
Clearances
26	42
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.72	0.07
Goals prevented
-0.28	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Hamer T. ⚽, Varfolomeev I. (A),
18', Earl J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yoganathan V. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
56', Bland J. 🟨,
61', Jefferies D. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
61', Moylan J. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
66', Watson T. ↓, Jalo F. ↑,
70', Roberts M. ↓, de Gevigney M. ↑,
71', Obikwu J. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Reach A. ⚽,
82', Connell L. 🟨,
86', McGrandles C. 🟨,
86', Hamer T. 🟨,
86', Kelly P. 🟨,
87', Bland J. ↓, McGoldrick D. ↑,
88', Street R. ↓, Ring E. ↑,
89', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Lembikisa D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barnsley
35.1%

Draw
27.1%

Lincoln City
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

27.1%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

27.1%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Barnsley - Lincoln City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.5)	3.48 ↑ (3.38)	2.45 ↓ (2.52)	7.2% (9.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Barnsley - Lincoln City?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Lincoln will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 44.9% – 88.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lincoln (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2.
Barnsley has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lincoln is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Barnsley: Gent G. (Injury) Ogbeta N. (Inactive)
There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J. (Injury) House B. (Inactive) Jackson A. (Inactive) Thorn O. (Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 1:2.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Lincoln City?

Barnsley has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Barnsley?

Lincoln City has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Lincoln City were as follows:

09.12.2025 Lincoln City - Barnsley 3:1

11.11.2025 Barnsley - Lincoln City 0:2

01.03.2025 Barnsley - Lincoln City 4:3

17.08.2024 Lincoln City - Barnsley 1:2

09.03.2024 Barnsley - Lincoln City 1:5

Latest results of Barnsley

26.12.2025 Barnsley - Mansfield Town 2:3 ✺

20.12.2025 Exeter City - Barnsley 3:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Barnsley - Leyton Orient 3:2 ✺

09.12.2025 Lincoln City - Barnsley 3:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Peterborough United - Barnsley 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Lincoln City

26.12.2025 Stockport County - Lincoln City 1:2 ✺

20.12.2025 Lincoln City - Cardiff City 2:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Blackpool - Lincoln City 2:2 ✺

09.12.2025 Lincoln City - Barnsley 3:1 ✺

02.12.2025 Lincoln City - Huddersfield Town 0:2 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	68:36	32	72
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	63:31	32	71
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	50:34	16	61
4	Bradford City	34	17	7	10	43:38	5	58
5	Stockport County	34	16	8	10	47:43	4	56
6	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	55:46	9	52
7	Reading	34	13	12	9	50:44	6	51
8	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	37:35	2	51
9	Wycombe	34	13	11	10	49:36	13	50
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	43:41	2	47
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	50:49	1	46
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	49:50	-1	46
13	Barnsley	31	12	8	11	53:53	0	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	33	12	7	14	41:48	-7	43
15	Exeter	33	11	8	14	38:39	-1	41
16	Mansfield	32	10	10	12	39:37	2	40
17	Burton	34	10	9	15	38:49	-11	39
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	36:55	-19	39
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	35:46	-11	37
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	40:54	-14	37
21	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44:56	-12	36
22	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31:47	-16	35
23	Rotherham	33	9	7	17	33:47	-14	34
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	26:44	-18	27

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two