Result
2:1
28/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | AFA Play, Disney+, ESPN Premium |
China | K-Ball |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (208/309) | 81% (332/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (208/309) | 81% (332/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (22/64) | 41% (28/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (66/125) | 60% (59/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', Corvalan C. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Palacios J. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 1, Candia J. ⚽, Rak Y. (A),
- 45+2', Candia J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Barrios N. ↓, Morales G. ↑,
- 46', Corvalan C. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
- 54', Pitton B. 🟨,
- 59', Ham E. ↓, Canete E. ↑,
- 60', Gamba L. ↓, Domina J. ↑,
- 74', Tapia I. ↓, Rosane S. ↑,
- 74', Candia J. ↓, Bruera F. ↑,
- 74', Palacios J. ↓, Verde L. ↑,
- 77', Profini R. 🟨,
- 79', Estigarribia M. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 79', Miloc D. ↓, Porra T. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Bruera F. ⚽,
- 88', Ruiz J. ↓, Barrios R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barracas Central 33.3% | Draw 33.1% | Unión Santa Fe 33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.84 ↑ (2.34) |
2.86 ↓ (3.09) |
2.87 ↓ (3.26) |
5% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Unión will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión: 61.6% – 91.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Unión (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Barracas Central could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Barracas Central will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Barracas Central: Duarte M.
(Inactive)
Irazoque A.
(Knee Injury)
Kruger F.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Barracas Central won against Unión Santa Fe?
Barracas Central has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Barracas Central?
Unión Santa Fe has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
27.05.2024
Unión Santa Fe
-
Barracas Central
2:0
13.02.2023
Barracas Central
-
Unión Santa Fe
1:1
Latest results of Barracas Central
Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 |
| 5 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)