Barracas Central vs Unión Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe
Result
2:1
28/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaAFA Play, Disney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.65
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
67% (208/309)81% (332/412)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.981.04
Total shots
197
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
224
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1812
Passes
67% (208/309)81% (332/412)
Long passes
34% (22/64)41% (28/68)
Passes in final third
53% (66/125)60% (59/98)
Crosses
37% (7/19)10% (2/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.32
Throw-ins
1016
Fouls
1218
Tackles
42% (5/12)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5251
Clearances
2435
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.041.98
Goals prevented
0.04-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', Corvalan C. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Palacios J. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Candia J. , Rak Y. (A),
  • 45+2', Candia J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Barrios N. , Morales G. ,
  • 46', Corvalan C. , Pitton B. ,
  • 54', Pitton B. 🟨,
  • 59', Ham E. , Canete E. ,
  • 60', Gamba L. , Domina J. ,
  • 74', Tapia I. , Rosane S. ,
  • 74', Candia J. , Bruera F. ,
  • 74', Palacios J. , Verde L. ,
  • 77', Profini R. 🟨,
  • 79', Estigarribia M. , Angulo J. ,
  • 79', Miloc D. , Porra T. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Bruera F. ,
  • 88', Ruiz J. , Barrios R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barracas Central
33.3%
Draw
33.1%
Unión Santa Fe
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 30.6% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 31.8% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.
  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.34)
    2.86
    (3.09)
    2.87
    (3.26)
    5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Unión will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Unión: 61.6%91.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Unión (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Barracas Central could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Barracas Central will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Barracas Central: Duarte M. (Inactive) Irazoque A. (Knee Injury) Kruger F. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
    27.05.2024 Unión Santa Fe - Barracas Central 2:0
    13.02.2023 Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe 1:1
    Latest results of Barracas Central
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central63219:7211
    2Defensa y Justicia62316:429
    3Estudiantes L.P53027:619
    4Huracan53024:5-19
    5Union de Santa Fe52216:248
    6Belgrano52215:238
    7Tigre62226:608
    8Central Cordoba51405:417
    9Banfield52127:8-17
    10Boca Juniors51315:326
    11Newells Old Boys51315:506
    12Argentinos Jrs51222:3-15
    13Ind. Rivadavia61236:8-25
    14Racing Club51133:5-24
    15Aldosivi50321:5-43


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate532011:3811
    2Lanus53025:329
    3San Lorenzo52214:318
    4Velez Sarsfield52214:318
    5Rosario Central51403:217
    6Dep. Riestra52125:507
    7Gimnasia L.P52124:407
    8Atl. Tucuman51315:506
    9Sarmiento Junin51315:6-16
    10Platense51314:5-16
    11San Martin S.J51224:5-15
    12Talleres Cordoba51223:4-15
    13Instituto51222:9-75
    14Godoy Cruz50324:7-33
    15Independiente50234:7-32

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)