Result
3:2
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 43
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (385/522) | 51% (131/255) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 49 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (385/522) | 51% (131/255) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (29/90) | 25% (21/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (139/199) | 41% (42/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.34 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Gordon J. ⚽, Rose D. (A),
- 10', Williams M. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Tshimanga K. ⚽, Shelton M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 2 - 1, Shelton M. ⚽, Stead C. (A),
- 60', Kanu I. 🟨,
- 63', Chinedu P. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 63', Kanu I. ↓, Jaiyesimi D. ↑,
- 68', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
- 71', Shipley L. ↓, Anderson J. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 2, Harper R. ⚽, MacDonald A. (A),
- 84', 3 - 2, Stead C. ⚽, Jaiyesimi D. (A),
- 87', Glover R. ↓, Winterburn B. ↑,
- 89', Mahoney C. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
- 90+3', Tshimanga K. ↓, Kizzi J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barnet
60.9% | Draw
23.4% | Barrow
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)The ML Model estimate for Barnet aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Barnet - Barrow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.56) |
4.01 ↑
(3.95) |
5.89 ↑
(5.4) |
7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Barnet - Barrow?
Users Predictions:
Barnet will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barnet will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 3.
- Barnet is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Barrow's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Barnet is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F.
(Injury)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Raglan C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E.
(Leg Injury)
- We predict that Barnet will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Barrow?
Barnet has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Barnet?
Barrow has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnet - Barrow were as follows:
25.10.2025
Barrow
-
Barnet
2:2
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
