Barrow vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Barrow - Carlisle United
Result
0:1
27/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 34
  • Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Ultra
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.38
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
198
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
66
Blocked Shots
80
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
41
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Free Kicks
1118
Offsides
32
Fouls
1811
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
3026
Touches in the Opposition Box
3019
Passes
63% (200/320)65% (195/301)
Passes in the final third
53% (63/120)60% (64/106)
Crosses
24% (5/21)30% (3/10)
Tackles
55% (12/22)43% (9/21)
Clearances Total
3052
Interceptions
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Dennis M. , Scott C. (A),
  • 36', Cameron K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Embleton E. , Wearne S. ,
  • 76', Acquah E. , Pressley A. ,
  • 77', Whelan C. , Vela J. ,
  • 77', Guy C. , Patching W. ,
  • 81', Canavan N. 🟨,
  • 83', Spence K. , Newby E. ,
  • 87', Dennis M. 🟨,
  • 89', Dennis M. , Bevan J. ,
  • 89', Harris K. , Ellis J. ,
  • 90+2', Davies A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barrow
43.1%
Draw
29.3%
Carlisle United
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 26.9% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 26.9% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barrow's performance.
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barrow that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Barrow - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.5)
    3.21
    (3.4)
    3.42
    (2.5)
    6.2%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Barrow - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: Barrow will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.95%96.33%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 18 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Barrow won 1.
    • Recent matches Barrow is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Carlisle is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Barrow will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Barrow: Campbell D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Carlisle: Dummett P. (Inactive) Kelly G. (Inactive) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Vela J. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
    • There are questionable in Barrow: Barnes S. (Inactive) Kouyate K. (Inactive) Popov C. (Inactive) Vassell T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Carlisle: Barclay B. (Inactive) Jones J. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Barrow won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Carlisle United were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Carlisle United - Barrow 1:0
    22.04.2023 Barrow - Carlisle United 0:1
    31.01.2023 Carlisle United - Barrow 5:1
    18.10.2022 Barrow - Carlisle United 2:0
    Latest results of Barrow
    22.02.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Barrow 3:0
    15.02.2025 Cheltenham Town - Barrow 3:2
    08.02.2025 Barrow - Gillingham 3:0
    01.02.2025 Newport County - Barrow 1:0
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Salford1161417:15219
    6MK Dons1153319:12718
    7Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    8Chesterfield1153320:19118
    9Notts Co1152420:13717
    10Barnet1152414:12217
    11Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    12Crewe1051414:11316
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League