Result
0:1
27/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 34
- Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Ireland | NOW |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Poland | Viaplay |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
United-kingdom | beIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Ultra |
Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.30 | 0.38 |
Ball Possession |
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52% | 48% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
19 | 8 |
Shots on Goal |
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5 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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8 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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12 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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7 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
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11 | 18 |
Offsides |
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3 | 2 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 11 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
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30 | 26 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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30 | 19 |
Passes |
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63% (200/320) | 65% (195/301) |
Passes in the final third |
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53% (63/120) | 60% (64/106) |
Crosses |
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24% (5/21) | 30% (3/10) |
Tackles |
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55% (12/22) | 43% (9/21) |
Clearances Total |
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30 | 52 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Dennis M. ⚽, Scott C. (A),
- 36', Cameron K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Embleton E. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
- 76', Acquah E. ↓, Pressley A. ↑,
- 77', Whelan C. ↓, Vela J. ↑,
- 77', Guy C. ↓, Patching W. ↑,
- 81', Canavan N. 🟨,
- 83', Spence K. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
- 87', Dennis M. 🟨,
- 89', Dennis M. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
- 89', Harris K. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
- 90+2', Davies A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barrow 43.1% | Draw 29.3% | Carlisle United 27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barrow's performance.Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barrow that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barrow - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.19 ↓ (2.5) |
3.21 ↓ (3.4) |
3.42 ↑ (2.5) |
6.2% (9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barrow - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
Barrow will win
(23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 18 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Barrow won 1.
- Recent matches Barrow is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Carlisle is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Barrow will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Barrow: Campbell D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Carlisle: Dummett P.
(Inactive)
Kelly G.
(Inactive)
McGeouch D.
(Inactive)
Vela J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Injury)
Wyke Ch.
(Broken ankle)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Barnes S.
(Inactive)
Kouyate K.
(Inactive)
Popov C.
(Inactive)
Vassell T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Carlisle: Barclay B.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Inactive)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Barrow won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Carlisle United?
Barrow has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Barrow?
Carlisle United has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Carlisle United were as follows:
17.08.2024
Carlisle United
-
Barrow
1:0
22.04.2023
Barrow
-
Carlisle United
0:1
31.01.2023
Carlisle United
-
Barrow
5:1
18.10.2022
Barrow
-
Carlisle United
2:0
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Colchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Cheltenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Crewe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Oldham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Swindon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Walsall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Accrington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Barnet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Chesterfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Grimsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | MK Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Notts Co | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Crawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Bromley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Newport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Harrogate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Fleetwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Salford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League