Result
0:1
27/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 34
- Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 United-kingdom | beIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Ultra |
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (200/320) | 65% (195/301) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 53% (63/120) | 60% (64/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 30% (3/10) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 43% (9/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Dennis M. ⚽, Scott C. (A),
- 36', Cameron K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Embleton E. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
- 76', Acquah E. ↓, Pressley A. ↑,
- 77', Whelan C. ↓, Vela J. ↑,
- 77', Guy C. ↓, Patching W. ↑,
- 81', Canavan N. 🟨,
- 83', Spence K. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
- 87', Dennis M. 🟨,
- 89', Dennis M. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
- 89', Harris K. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
- 90+2', Davies A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barrow
43.1% | Draw
29.3% | Carlisle United
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barrow's performance.Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barrow that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barrow - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.5) |
3.21 ↓
(3.4) |
3.42 ↑
(2.5) |
6.2%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barrow - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
Barrow will win
(23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 18 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Barrow won 1.
- Recent matches Barrow is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Carlisle is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Barrow will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Barrow: Campbell D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Carlisle: Dummett P.
(Inactive)
Kelly G.
(Inactive)
McGeouch D.
(Inactive)
Vela J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Injury)
Wyke Ch.
(Broken ankle)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Barnes S.
(Inactive)
Kouyate K.
(Inactive)
Popov C.
(Inactive)
Vassell T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Carlisle: Barclay B.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Inactive)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Barrow won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Carlisle United?
Barrow has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Barrow?
Carlisle United has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Carlisle United were as follows:
17.08.2024
Carlisle United
-
Barrow
1:0
22.04.2023
Barrow
-
Carlisle United
0:1
31.01.2023
Carlisle United
-
Barrow
5:1
18.10.2022
Barrow
-
Carlisle United
2:0
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 56:34 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 62:33 | 29 | 61 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 52:32 | 20 | 61 |
| 5 | Swindon | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 56:40 | 16 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:40 | 10 | 53 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 52:43 | 9 | 53 |
| 8 | Salford | 32 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 45:43 | 2 | 52 |
| 9 | Barnet | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Walsall | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 40:35 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Colchester | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 48:34 | 14 | 49 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 44 |
| 15 | Oldham | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 42 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 40:41 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:52 | -19 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 45:57 | -12 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 32:56 | -24 | 30 |
| 21 | Crawley | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33:54 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 33:50 | -17 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
