Result
1:0
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 32
- Referee: Wright P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (291/391) | 79% (386/489) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (291/391) | 79% (386/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (32/80) | 36% (25/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (66/111) | 74% (135/182) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 9% (2/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Tovide S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Canavan N. 🟨,
- 67', Earing J. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
- 69', Thompson J. 🟨,
- 75', Jackson B. ↓, Anderson J. ↑,
- 76', Goodwin W. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
- 76', Payne J. ↓, Bishop T. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Canavan N. ⚽,
- 87', Back F. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 89', Newby E. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
- 90+4', Araujo H. 🟨,
- 90+4', Vincent-Young K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barrow
28.9% | Draw
28.1% | Colchester United
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Barrow - Colchester United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↓
(3.34) |
3.33 ↑
(3.23) |
2.17 ↑
(2.1) |
7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barrow - Colchester United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Barrow (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Colchester United will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Colchester United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Colchester (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3.
- Barrow is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Colchester has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Colchester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Barrow has had a series of away games.
- Colchester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F.
(Inactive)
Foley S.
(Surgery)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Williams M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Colchester: Anderson H.
(Inactive)
Iandolo E.
(Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Fletcher I.
(Inactive)
Gordon J.
(Inactive)
Smith S.
(Inactive)
Winterbottom B.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Colchester will win today's game, with odds of 2.12.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Colchester United?
Barrow has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Barrow?
Colchester United has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Colchester United were as follows:
23.08.2025
Colchester United
-
Barrow
0:2
03.05.2025
Colchester United
-
Barrow
0:0
09.11.2024
Barrow
-
Colchester United
1:1
09.03.2024
Barrow
-
Colchester United
2:0
25.11.2023
Colchester United
-
Barrow
1:4
Latest results of Colchester United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
