Barrow vs Harrogate Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two
Result
0:1
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 33
  • Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.030.47
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
22
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
16
Passes
71% (339/479)66% (258/389)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.030.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.251.00
Total shots
147
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
82
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
2115
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1011
Passes
71% (339/479)66% (258/389)
Long passes
40% (36/89)42% (41/98)
Passes in final third
57% (88/154)50% (49/98)
Crosses
26% (6/23)0% (0/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.21
Throw ins
4018
Fouls
1110
Tackles
59% (13/22)57% (12/21)
Duels won
7483
Clearances
2954
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
1.000.25
Goals prevented
0.000.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Taylor E. ⚽,
  • 40', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
  • 40', Earing J. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Morris B. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
  • 63', Brenan T. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
  • 66', Headman C. 🟨,
  • 67', Headman C. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
  • 79', Raglan C. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
  • 87', Harper R. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
  • 88', Heffernan C. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Thompson J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barrow
52.9%		Draw
26.7%		Harrogate Town
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 25.5% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 24.7% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • The chances for Harrogate Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
    •

    Barrow - Harrogate Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.79 ↑
    (1.7)    		 3.51 ↓
    (3.6)    		 4.51 ↑
    (4.47)    		 6.6%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Barrow - Harrogate Town?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Harrogate will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 9.6% – 70.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Barrow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Barrow is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F. (Inactive) Foley S. (Surgery) Hemmings K. (Injury) Williams M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M. (Inactive) Bradbury T. (Injury) Duke-McKenna S. (Injury) Fox B. (Inactive) McCoulsky S. (Inactive) Oxley M. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Barrow: Fletcher I. (Inactive) Gordon J. (Inactive) Smith S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Harrogate: Faulkner B. (Inactive) Headman C. (Inactive) Hill T. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Harrogate Town were as follows:
    19.08.2025 Harrogate Town - Barrow 1:0
    04.01.2025 Barrow - Harrogate Town 0:2
    31.08.2024 Harrogate Town - Barrow 0:1
    16.03.2024 Barrow - Harrogate Town 0:0
    02.09.2023 Harrogate Town - Barrow 0:1
    Latest results of Barrow
    14.02.2026 Barrow - Colchester United 1:0 ✺
    10.02.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Barrow 2:1
    07.02.2026 Notts County - Barrow 2:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Swindon Town - Barrow 3:1 ✺
    27.01.2026 Barrow - Oldham Athletic Postponed ✺
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    14.02.2026 Chesterfield - Harrogate Town 1:1 ✺
    07.02.2026 Harrogate Town - Cambridge United 2:1 ✺
    03.02.2026 Harrogate Town - Swindon Town 0:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Crawley Town - Harrogate Town 2:0 ✺
    27.01.2026 Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town 1:2 ✺
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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