Result
1:0
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 4
- Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (254/374) | 73% (320/439) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (254/374) | 73% (320/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (30/93) | 40% (29/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (63/112) | 64% (90/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 30% (10/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, McCoulsky S. ⚽, Duke-McKenna S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Shipley L. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
- 46', Earing J. ↓, Foley S. ↑,
- 58', Foley S. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
- 72', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
- 74', Mahoney C. ↓, Healey R. ↑,
- 80', Taylor E. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
- 82', Raglan C. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 90', Smith R. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town
31.8% | Draw
31.7% | Barrow
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Harrogate Town - Barrow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↑
(2.79) |
2.95 ↓
(3.04) |
2.57 ↓
(2.66) |
6.7%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Barrow?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Barrow will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrow: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barrow will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Barrow has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Ankle Injury)
Sutton L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thomson G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M.
(Inactive)
Fletcher I.
(Inactive)
Harper R.
(Inactive)
Williams M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Hemmings K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Barrow?
Harrogate Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Harrogate Town?
Barrow has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Barrow were as follows:
04.01.2025
Barrow
-
Harrogate Town
0:2
31.08.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Barrow
0:1
16.03.2024
Barrow
-
Harrogate Town
0:0
02.09.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Barrow
0:1
18.03.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Barrow
1:0
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Swindon | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Gillingham | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Salford | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Walsall | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Bromley | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Crewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | MK Dons | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 | Barnet | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
| 17 | Harrogate | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Crawley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 20 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 21 | Barrow | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 22 | Newport | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:14 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
