Result
1:0
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 4
- Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.38 | 1.54 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
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22 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
68% (254/374) | 73% (320/439) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.38 | 1.54 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.48 | 0.45 |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
12 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 29 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
68% (254/374) | 73% (320/439) |
Long passes |
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32% (30/93) | 40% (29/73) |
Passes in final third |
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56% (63/112) | 64% (90/140) |
Crosses |
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20% (3/15) | 30% (10/33) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.32 | 1.07 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 35 |
Fouls |
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7 | 8 |
Tackles |
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58% (11/19) | 73% (8/11) |
Duels won |
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70 | 58 |
Clearances |
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44 | 25 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.45 | 0.48 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.45 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, McCoulsky S. ⚽, Duke-McKenna S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Shipley L. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
- 46', Earing J. ↓, Foley S. ↑,
- 58', Foley S. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
- 72', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
- 74', Mahoney C. ↓, Healey R. ↑,
- 80', Taylor E. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
- 82', Raglan C. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 90', Smith R. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town 31.8% | Draw 31.7% | Barrow 36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Harrogate Town - Barrow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.95 ↑ (2.79) |
2.95 ↓ (3.04) |
2.57 ↓ (2.66) |
6.7% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Barrow?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Barrow will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrow: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barrow will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Barrow has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Ankle Injury)
Sutton L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thomson G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M.
(Inactive)
Fletcher I.
(Inactive)
Harper R.
(Inactive)
Williams M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Hemmings K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Barrow?
Harrogate Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Harrogate Town?
Barrow has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Barrow were as follows:
04.01.2025
Barrow
-
Harrogate Town
0:2
31.08.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Barrow
0:1
16.03.2024
Barrow
-
Harrogate Town
0:0
02.09.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Barrow
0:1
18.03.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Barrow
1:0
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Crewe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 12 |
2 | Grimsby | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
3 | Chesterfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Salford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
5 | MK Dons | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 8 |
6 | Gillingham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
7 | Bromley | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
8 | Harrogate | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
9 | Cambridge Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Fleetwood | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
11 | Walsall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
12 | Swindon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
13 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 5 |
14 | Colchester | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
15 | Notts Co | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
16 | Newport | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
17 | Oldham | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
18 | Barnet | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
19 | Barrow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
20 | Accrington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
22 | Crawley | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
23 | Shrewsbury | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
24 | Cheltenham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League