Walsall vs Barrow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 13
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.20
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
245
Shots on target
112
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
140
Passes
81% (325/400)70% (205/294)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.291.25
Total shots
245
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
101
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
140
Touches in opposition box
3911
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
117
Passes
81% (325/400)70% (205/294)
Long passes
53% (31/59)29% (20/68)
Passes in final third
74% (133/180)37% (26/71)
Crosses
20% (8/40)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.220.61
Throw-ins
2920
Fouls
711
Tackles
70% (7/10)75% (6/8)
Duels won
5241
Clearances
1954
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
011
xGOT faced
1.251.29
Goals prevented
-0.750.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Shipley L. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Newby E. , Whitfield B. (A),
  • 39', Mahoney C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Walker T. , Hemmings K. ,
  • 55', Harper V. , Okeke J. ,
  • 56', Shipley L. 🟨,
  • 59', Fletcher I. , McCann C. ,
  • 68', 0 - 2, McCann C. ,
  • 70', Clarke C. 🟨,
  • 71', Jellis J. , Finnigan R. ,
  • 71', Whitfield B. , Barkhuizen T. ,
  • 71', Mahoney C. , Smith S. ,
  • 72', Barrett C. , Adomah A. ,
  • 72', Warrington L. , Lakin C. ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Kanu D. , Adomah A. (A),
  • 88', Newby E. , Worrall D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Walsall
44.7%
Draw
30.2%
Barrow
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 27.2% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 26.4% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Walsall's form might have worsened.
  • Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walsall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Walsall - Barrow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (1.83)
    3.32
    (3.42)
    3.9
    (4.26)
    -2.1%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Walsall - Barrow?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Walsall (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Walsall will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 1.
    • Walsall is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Barrow's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Walsall is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Walsall: Cox D. (International duty) Hancock M. (Knee Injury) Harper V. (International duty) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Barrow: Canavan N. (Hamstring Injury) Foley S. (Surgery) Healey R. (Knee Injury) Hemmings K. (Injury) Smith K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Walsall: Burke H. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barrow: Barkhuizen T. (Inactive) Earing J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Walsall won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Walsall - Barrow were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Barrow - Walsall 2:0
    14.12.2024 Walsall - Barrow 1:0
    12.03.2024 Walsall - Barrow 1:1
    28.11.2023 Barrow - Walsall 2:0
    04.03.2023 Walsall - Barrow 0:1
    Latest results of Walsall
    11.10.2025 Crawley Town - Walsall 1:1
    07.10.2025 Walsall - Northampton Town 0:1
    04.10.2025 Walsall - Bristol Rovers 2:1
    20.09.2025 Walsall - Tranmere Rovers 4:2
    Latest results of Barrow
    11.10.2025 Oldham Athletic - Barrow 0:0
    07.10.2025 Barrow - Tranmere Rovers 1:2
    04.10.2025 Barrow - Shrewsbury Town 0:0
    27.09.2025 Crawley Town - Barrow 1:2
    20.09.2025 Barrow - Crewe Alexandra 1:0
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley341911458:352368
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Crewe351681152:411156
    7Salford331741246:43355
    8Chesterfield341314752:44853
    9Barnet3514111044:37753
    10Walsall331581042:36653
    11Grimsby331410946:37952
    12Colchester3313101048:351349
    13Accrington341371437:36146
    14Oldham321112936:30645
    15Fleetwood331291243:42145
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere34981746:59-1335
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Barrow33762033:51-1827
    23Harrogate35692025:52-2727
    24Newport34672132:60-2825

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League