Result
1:2
29/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 57', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+7', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Derio
24.2% | Draw
27.4% | Basconia
48.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derio's performance.Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basconia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basconia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Derio - Basconia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.77 ↓
(5.73) |
3.34 ↓
(3.75) |
1.89 ↑
(1.51) |
9.5%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Recent matches Derio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Basconia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Basconia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Basconia is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Derio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Derio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Basconia?
Derio has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Basconia won against Derio?
Basconia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derio - Basconia were as follows:
17.11.2024
Basconia
-
Derio
2:0
27.01.2024
Derio
-
Basconia
0:0
10.09.2023
Basconia
-
Derio
2:1
Latest results of Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Portugalete | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Zamudio | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Santurtzi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Lagun Onak | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Touring KE | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Derio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Leioa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Pasaia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | San Ignacio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Zarautz KE | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Eibar C | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Alaves C | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Durango | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | UD Aretxabaleta | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Anorga | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
