Derio vs Basconia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Derio - Basconia
Result
1:2
29/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 57', 0 - 1, ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Derio
24.2%
Draw
27.4%
Basconia
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.8% 24.2% 60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 24% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derio's performance.
  • Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basconia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basconia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Derio - Basconia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.77
    (5.73)
    3.34
    (3.75)
    1.89
    (1.51)
    9.5%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Recent matches Derio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Basconia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Basconia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Basconia is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Derio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derio - Basconia were as follows:
    17.11.2024 Basconia - Derio 2:0
    27.01.2024 Derio - Basconia 0:0
    10.09.2023 Basconia - Derio 2:1
    Latest results of Derio
    22.03.2025 Leioa - Derio 2:1
    15.03.2025 Derio - Aretxabaleta 2:0
    09.03.2025 San Viator - Derio 0:0
    01.03.2025 Derio - Portugalete 1:1
    23.02.2025 Eibar C - Derio 0:0
    Latest results of Basconia
    23.03.2025 Basconia - Santurtzi 1:1
    01.03.2025 San Ignacio - Basconia 0:3
    23.02.2025 Padura - Basconia 1:2
    16.02.2025 Basconia - Leioa 3:0
    09.02.2025 Aretxabaleta - Basconia 1:4
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2