Derio vs Eibar C – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
01/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 29

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Barron J. ,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Barron J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 51', 2 - 1, ,
  • 88', 🟥,
  • 89', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Derio
59.5%
Draw
24.1%
Eibar C
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 23.5% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 22.1% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Eibar C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar C than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Derio - Eibar C Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.56)
    3.82
    (3.84)
    5.62
    (4.89)
    8.6%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Derio is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Eibar C has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Derio is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Derio won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derio - Eibar C were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Eibar C - Derio 1:1
    23.02.2025 Eibar C - Derio 0:0
    Latest results of Derio
    28.03.2026 Añorga - Derio 3:0
    19.03.2026 Derio - Durango 4:0
    15.03.2026 Aretxabaleta - Derio 1:2
    08.03.2026 Derio - Zamudio 2:1
    01.03.2026 Santurtzi - Derio 1:1
    Latest results of Eibar C
    28.03.2026 Eibar C - Touring KE 0:2
    21.03.2026 Alavés C - Eibar C 3:1
    07.03.2026 Leioa - Eibar C 1:1
    01.03.2026 Eibar C - Zarautz KE 3:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete30225362:233971
    2Touring KE30168642:271556
    3Leioa30166842:281454
    4Lagun Onak301641048:282052
    5San Ignacio30147933:231049
    6Derio301461047:361148
    7Alaves C30138951:341747
    8Aurrera de Vitoria301451137:37047
    9Real Sociedad C301341334:35-143
    10UD Aretxabaleta301261248:50-242
    11Durango309101130:31-137
    12Anorga301031733:52-1933
    13Zamudio30951639:50-1132
    14Santurtzi307111227:39-1232
    15Pasaia30881423:40-1732
    16Eibar C30781533:48-1529
    17Zarautz KE30751826:56-3026
    18SD Deusto30571821:39-1822

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation