Result
1:1
15/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 2
- Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (251/321) | 83% (342/410) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (251/321) | 83% (342/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (15/49) | 57% (29/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (44/88) | 70% (65/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Meddah D. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Sebas J. ⚽, Boutrah A. (A),
- 34', Pouilly T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', 1 - 1, Arconte T. ⚽, Kalulu J. (A),
- 65', Arconte T. 🟨,
- 66', Meddah D. 🟥,
- 66', Ducrocq T. 🟥,
- 67', Bobichon A. ↓, Beusnard S. ↑,
- 67', Sebas J. ↓, Vincent C. ↑,
- 68', Arconte T. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
- 73', Bohnert F. 🟨,
- 79', Versini G. ↓, Lebouath S. ↑,
- 85', Mboup P. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
- 86', Ble M. ↓, Etoga L. ↑,
- 86', Tomi F. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
- 86', Guidi D. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
- 90', Ariss Z. 🟨,
- 90+2', Bohnert F. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bastia
52.5% | Draw
25.9% | Pau
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Bastia - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79
(1.79) |
3.61 ↑
(3.28) |
4.36 ↓
(4.68) |
6.6%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bastia - Pau?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 2.
- Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bastia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Guevara J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Pau: Beusnard S.
(Inactive)
Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Ngom O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Pau?
Bastia has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Bastia?
Pau has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Pau were as follows:
24.01.2025
Bastia
-
Pau
1:1
22.10.2024
Pau
-
Bastia
1:1
10.05.2024
Pau
-
Bastia
1:2
26.09.2023
Bastia
-
Pau
1:4
20.05.2023
Pau
-
Bastia
2:6
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St Etienne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
