Bastia vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 2
  • Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.10
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
611
Passes
78% (251/321)83% (342/410)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.861.15
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
611
Touches in opposition box
2822
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
612
Passes
78% (251/321)83% (342/410)
Long passes
31% (15/49)57% (29/51)
Passes in final third
50% (44/88)70% (65/93)
Crosses
20% (3/15)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.58
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
136
Tackles
62% (16/26)59% (10/17)
Duels won
5061
Clearances
3121
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.150.86
Goals prevented
0.15-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Meddah D. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Sebas J. , Boutrah A. (A),
  • 34', Pouilly T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 1, Arconte T. , Kalulu J. (A),
  • 65', Arconte T. 🟨,
  • 66', Meddah D. 🟥,
  • 66', Ducrocq T. 🟥,
  • 67', Bobichon A. , Beusnard S. ,
  • 67', Sebas J. , Vincent C. ,
  • 68', Arconte T. , Zuliani E. ,
  • 73', Bohnert F. 🟨,
  • 79', Versini G. , Lebouath S. ,
  • 85', Mboup P. , Karamoko S. ,
  • 86', Ble M. , Etoga L. ,
  • 86', Tomi F. , Karamoko I. ,
  • 86', Guidi D. , Meynadier T. ,
  • 90', Ariss Z. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Bohnert F. , Zaouai A. ,

Chances of winning


Bastia
52.5%
Draw
25.9%
Pau
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 28.3% 19.8%

Bastia - Pau Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.79
(1.79)
3.61
(3.28)
4.36
(4.68)
6.6%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bastia - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 2.
    • Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bastia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Guevara J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Pau: Beusnard S. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Ngom O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Pau were as follows:
    24.01.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
    22.10.2024 Pau - Bastia 1:1
    10.05.2024 Pau - Bastia 1:2
    26.09.2023 Bastia - Pau 1:4
    20.05.2023 Pau - Bastia 2:6
    Latest results of Bastia
    10.05.2025 Bastia - Caen 2:1
    02.05.2025 Guingamp - Bastia 2:2
    25.04.2025 Bastia - Grenoble 2:3
    19.04.2025 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0
    14.04.2025 Bastia - Laval 5:2
    Latest results of Pau
    09.08.2025 Pau - Annecy 2:0
    02.08.2025 Rodez - Pau 2:4
    18.07.2025 Real Sociedad - Pau 2:0
    12.07.2025 Toulouse - Pau 0:0
    10.05.2025 Pau - Guingamp 1:3
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes17105230:161435
    2St Etienne1793535:251030
    3Le Mans1786322:17530
    4Reims1785432:201229
    5Red Star1685321:15629
    6Dunkerque1776429:191027
    7Pau FC1775523:25-226
    8Montpellier1774618:16225
    9Guingamp1765625:30-523
    10Annecy1764721:18322
    11Grenoble1756619:21-221
    12Rodez1756618:23-521
    13Clermont1747616:21-519
    14Amiens1753921:26-518
    15Nancy1753915:22-718
    16Boulogne1744918:26-816
    17Laval1736813:22-915
    18Bastia1615108:22-148

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National