Result
1:1
24/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 20
- Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (371/443) | 69% (176/255) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 59% (68/116) | 49% (32/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 30% (3/10) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 77% (17/22) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Mohamed I. 🟨,
- 26', Guidi D. ↓, Roncaglia A. ↑,
- 29', Kalulu J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Ahoussou A. 🟨,
- 51', 0 - 1, Koudou T. ⚽, Ruiz J. (A),
- 54', Koudou T. 🟨,
- 54', Maggiotti J. 🟨,
- 60', Ruiz J. 🟨,
- 68', Akueson G. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 68', Meynadier T. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
- 69', Tramoni L. ↓, Bohnert F. ↑,
- 77', Kalulu J. ↓, Arconte T. ↑,
- 77', Beusnard S. ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,
- 80', Gaspar J. 🟨,
- 80', Janneh J. ↓, Boumaaoui M. A. ↑,
- 83', Mboup P. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
- 90+3', Mohamed I. ↓, Kouassi L.X. ↑,
- 90+11', Boutaib K. 🟨,
- 90+13', 1 - 1, Maggiotti J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Bastia
48.5% | Draw
27.9% | Pau
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Bastia - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.91) |
3.36 ↓
(3.52) |
4.01 ↑
(3.84) |
5.9%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bastia - Pau?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Pau will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 40.8% – 79.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Pau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Bastia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Bastia: Boumaaoui M. A.
(Injury)
Guevara J.
(Injury)
Tomi F.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Bastia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Pau?
Bastia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Bastia?
Pau has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Pau were as follows:
22.10.2024
Pau
-
Bastia
1:1
10.05.2024
Pau
-
Bastia
1:2
26.09.2023
Bastia
-
Pau
1:4
20.05.2023
Pau
-
Bastia
2:6
13.01.2023
Bastia
-
Pau
1:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
