Result
2:3
23/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 7
- Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 France | beIN Connect |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (320/404) | 66% (179/271) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (320/404) | 66% (179/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/67) | 29% (15/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (74/123) | 51% (44/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Magnin M. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Boutrah A. ⚽, Ariss Z. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 58', 2 - 0, Ducrocq T. (Pen),
- 62', Zaouai A. ↓, Bathily Y. ↑,
- 64', Joly O. ↓, Achi M. ↑,
- 65', Galves N. ↓, Tourraine M. ↑,
- 65', Baaloudj M. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
- 75', Ble M. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Achi M. ⚽, Nagera K. (A),
- 80', Bathily Y. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
- 80', Mendes J. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
- 80', Ponti R. ↓, Jean-Lambert E. ↑,
- 82', Meynadier T. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 2, Magnin M. ⚽, Jean-Lambert E. (A),
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Balde I. ⚽, Nagera K. (A),
- 90+1', 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4y82wnw8
Chances of winning
Bastia
57.4% | Draw
25.9% | Rodez
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rodez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Bastia - Rodez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.73) |
4.03 ↑
(3.8) |
6.65 ↑
(4.22) |
-2.8%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bastia - Rodez?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 2.
- Bastia has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rodez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rodez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Bastia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Bastia is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G.
(Injury)
Basset D.
(Injury)
Bohnert F.
(Injury)
Etoga L.
(Injury)
Parravicini N.
(Injury)
Vincent C.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rodez: Crombez E.
(Inactive)
Tebily H.
(Inactive)
Trouillet A.
(Inactive)
Vangi D.
(Inactive)
Younoussa W.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Rodez?
Bastia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Bastia?
Rodez has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Rodez were as follows:
07.02.2025
Rodez
-
Bastia
0:2
29.10.2024
Bastia
-
Rodez
2:2
17.02.2024
Bastia
-
Rodez
0:2
21.10.2023
Rodez
-
Bastia
1:1
25.02.2023
Rodez
-
Bastia
0:2
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Red Star | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Reims | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Rodez | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Grenoble | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
