Result
2:0
28/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 25
- Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 0.67 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 13 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 16 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
---|
11 | 17 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
22 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
88% (372/424) | 86% (382/444) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
75% (86/115) | 67% (71/106) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (4/16) | 21% (4/19) |
Tackles |
---|
82% (9/11) | 75% (9/12) |
Clearances Total |
---|
31 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Said R. ⚽, Boura I. (A),
- 32', Boura I. 🟨,
- 36', Monfray A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cisse L. ↓, Tramoni L. ↑,
- 46', Ariss Z. ↓, Janneh J. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Irie C. ⚽, Said R. (A),
- 60', Roncaglia A. 🟨,
- 61', Guevara J. 🟨,
- 62', Sebas J. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 62', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
- 72', Ba P. I. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
- 81', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
- 82', Phliponeau A. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 82', Said R. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
- 82', Meynadier T. ↓, Bohnert F. ↑,
- 89', Diop M. ↓, Chavalerin X. ↑,
- 90+4', Kante A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Troyes 33.1% | Draw 34.2% | Bastia 32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Troyes - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.8 ↑ (2.78) |
2.74 ↓ (2.95) |
2.83 ↑ (2.61) |
7.4% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Troyes - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Bastia will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1.
- Recent matches Troyes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Bastia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Troyes: Adeline M.
(Injury)
Hamdi M.
(Injury)
Ripart R.
(Knee Injury)
Tahrat M.
(Leg Injury)
de Preville N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bastia: Boumaaoui M. A.
(Injury)
Mazikou S.
(Injury)
Tomi F.
(Injury)
Vincent C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Troyes: Akpakoun T.
(Injury)
El Idrissy M.
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Bastia?
Troyes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Troyes?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Bastia were as follows:
13.09.2024
Bastia
-
Troyes
0:0
09.03.2024
Troyes
-
Bastia
2:0
26.08.2023
Bastia
-
Troyes
3:2
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National