Result
2:0
28/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 25
- Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (372/424) | 86% (382/444) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 75% (86/115) | 67% (71/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 21% (4/19) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 75% (9/12) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Said R. ⚽, Boura I. (A),
- 32', Boura I. 🟨,
- 36', Monfray A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cisse L. ↓, Tramoni L. ↑,
- 46', Ariss Z. ↓, Janneh J. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Irie C. ⚽, Said R. (A),
- 60', Roncaglia A. 🟨,
- 61', Guevara J. 🟨,
- 62', Sebas J. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 62', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
- 72', Ba P. I. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
- 81', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
- 82', Phliponeau A. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 82', Said R. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
- 82', Meynadier T. ↓, Bohnert F. ↑,
- 89', Diop M. ↓, Chavalerin X. ↑,
- 90+4', Kante A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Troyes
33.1% | Draw
34.2% | Bastia
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Troyes - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.78) |
2.74 ↓
(2.95) |
2.83 ↑
(2.61) |
7.4%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Troyes - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Bastia will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1.
- Recent matches Troyes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Bastia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Troyes: Adeline M.
(Injury)
Hamdi M.
(Injury)
Ripart R.
(Knee Injury)
Tahrat M.
(Leg Injury)
de Preville N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bastia: Boumaaoui M. A.
(Injury)
Mazikou S.
(Injury)
Tomi F.
(Injury)
Vincent C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Troyes: Akpakoun T.
(Injury)
El Idrissy M.
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Bastia?
Troyes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Troyes?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Bastia were as follows:
13.09.2024
Bastia
-
Troyes
0:0
09.03.2024
Troyes
-
Bastia
2:0
26.08.2023
Bastia
-
Troyes
3:2
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
