Result
3:1
27/01/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 22
- Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
Chances of winning
Valenciennes
32.9% | Draw
32.4% | Bastia
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valenciennes's form might have worsened.Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valenciennes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Valenciennes - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.47) |
2.91 ↓
(3.1) |
2.71 ↓
(3) |
6.3%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Valenciennes - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Valenciennes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-18.
- Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Valenciennes won against Bastia?
Valenciennes has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Valenciennes?
Bastia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valenciennes - Bastia were as follows:
12.08.2023
Bastia
-
Valenciennes
3:0
11.03.2023
Valenciennes
-
Bastia
2:2
30.12.2022
Bastia
-
Valenciennes
1:0
Latest results of Valenciennes
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Red Star | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Reims | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Rodez | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Grenoble | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
