Result
1:0
07/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Usa | ion TV, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (277/369) | 77% (330/427) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (277/369) | 77% (330/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (21/57) | 26% (15/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (52/83) | 61% (75/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (12/26) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.92 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Brewster J. ↓, Hubly K. ↑,
- 33', Oshoala A. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Malonson A. ⚽, Hocking P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Linnehan P. ↓, Tordin P. ↑,
- 63', Alidou d'Anjou M. ↓, Turner R. ↑,
- 71', Oshoala A. ↓, Kundananji R. ↑,
- 71', Huff T. ↓, Bailey D. ↑,
- 71', Bebar H. ↓, Pickett K. ↑,
- 78', Torpey K. ↓, Fleming J. ↑,
- 78', Hocking P. ↓, Boade T. ↑,
- 80', Pickett K. 🟨,
- 84', Hanks C. ↓, Spaanstra A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bay FC
28% | Draw
25.6% | Portland Thorns
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bay FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Bay FC - Portland Thorns Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(3) |
3.56 ↑
(3.25) |
1.97 ↓
(2.15) |
9.6%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In recent matches, Bay has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Portland Thorns is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Portland Thorns has had a series of away games.
- Portland Thorns is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Bay FC won against Portland Thorns?
Bay FC has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Thorns won against Bay FC?
Portland Thorns has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bay FC - Portland Thorns were as follows:
30.08.2024
Portland Thorns
-
Bay FC
1:3
01.05.2024
Bay FC
-
Portland Thorns
2:3
Latest results of Portland Thorns
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 31:10 | 21 | 36 |
| 2 | Orlando Pride W | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23:20 | 3 | 26 |
| 4 | San Diego Wave W | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 6 | Portland Thorns W | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 22 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19:24 | -5 | 20 |
| 8 | Gotham W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Bay FC W | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:24 | -9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chicago W | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11:28 | -17 | 7 |
| 14 | Utah Royals W | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12:30 | -18 | 6 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
