Portland Thorns vs Bay FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football NWSL Portland Thorns - Bay FC
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NWSL Women
  • Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
usaUsaion TV, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.760.60
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
81% (347/430)81% (354/439)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.760.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.61
Total shots
67
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1225
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
128
Passes
81% (347/430)81% (354/439)
Long passes
38% (21/55)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
62% (53/85)62% (80/130)
Crosses
25% (2/8)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.97
Throw-ins
3234
Fouls
812
Tackles
88% (14/16)88% (14/16)
Duels won
4836
Clearances
369
Interceptions
922
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.610.97
Goals prevented
-0.39-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Huff T. , Lema K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Moultrie O. , Coffey S. (A),
  • 61', Tordin P. , Loboa V. ,
  • 61', Spaanstra A. , Alidou d'Anjou M. ,
  • 62', Hill R. , Hocking P. ,
  • 68', Hocking P. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Moultrie O. ,
  • 72', Vignola M. , Torpey K. ,
  • 76', Boade T. , Paulson C. ,
  • 76', Lema K. , Conti C. ,
  • 81', Huff T. , Moreau M. ,
  • 90+1', Turner R. , Mckenzie M. ,

Chances of winning


Portland Thorns
53.7%
Draw
24.2%
Bay FC
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 24% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 18.4% 24.8%

Portland Thorns - Bay FC Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.71
(1.62)
3.79
(3.84)
4.15
(4.83)
9%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
  • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
  • Portland Thorns has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Bay's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  • Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Portland Thorns is considered a favorite.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
  • Including home match between the teams, Portland Thorns won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Thorns - Bay FC were as follows:
07.06.2025 Bay FC - Portland Thorns 1:0
30.08.2024 Portland Thorns - Bay FC 1:3
01.05.2024 Bay FC - Portland Thorns 2:3
Latest results of Portland Thorns
Latest results of Bay FC
27.09.2025 Bay FC - Utah Royals 0:2
21.09.2025 Bay FC - NJ NY Gotham 1:1
13.09.2025 Orlando Pride - Bay FC 1:1
01.09.2025 Angel City - Bay FC 2:1
NWSL Table
2025
PlWDLDiffPts
1Kansas City Current W ✔ 25202347:123562
2Washington Spirit W ✔ 25128542:321044
3Orlando Pride W ✔ 25116832:26639
4Seattle Reign W ✔ 25108731:28338
5San Diego Wave W ✔ 25107840:32837
6Portland Thorns W ✔ 25107834:29537
7Gotham W ✔ 2599733:221136
8Racing Louisville W2597934:38-434
9North Carolina Courage W2588934:37-332
10Houston Dash W25861127:37-1030
11Angel City W25761230:39-927
12Utah Royals W25571327:42-1522
13Bay FC W25481326:40-1420
14Chicago W252111230:53-2317

      Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams
Kansas City Current W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Washington Spirit W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Orlando Pride W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Seattle Reign W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
San Diego Wave W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Portland Thorns W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Gotham W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)