Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim
23/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 1
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 2
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
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canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
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franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
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germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW
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sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
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switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
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Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
59.9%
Draw
21.1%
Hoffenheim
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 19.7% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7% 22.1% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.5)
    4.55
    (4.87)
    5.12
    (5.83)
    4.5%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 28 - 77.8%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 64.2%91.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 5.
    • Bayer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hoffenheim is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Hoffenheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Bayer has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bayer is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Hofmann J. (Muscle Injury) Palacios E. (Muscle Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tillman M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Broken Leg) Kabak O. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Bade L. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Bayer will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:33. (average 1.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim 3:1
    14.09.2024 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 1:4
    30.03.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim 2:1
    04.11.2023 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3
    11.02.2023 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 1:3
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    16.08.2025 Hansa Rostock - Hoffenheim 0:4
    01.08.2025 Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim 0:3
    01.08.2025 Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim 0:1
    26.07.2025 Hoffenheim - Darmstadt 3:1
    23.07.2025 Hoffenheim - Homburg 4:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich11006:063
    2Union Berlin00000:000
    3Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig10010:6-60

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