Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim
Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 1
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 5, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 2
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
brazilBrazilSporTV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalySky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7, SportKlub 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.650.56
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
87% (490/565)81% (314/387)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
0.650.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.61
Total shots
810
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
169
Passes
87% (490/565)81% (314/387)
Long passes
50% (21/42)55% (34/62)
Passes in final third
72% (85/118)67% (64/96)
Crosses
8% (2/24)55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.46
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
917
Tackles
75% (6/8)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4834
Clearances
1527
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.611.31
Goals prevented
-0.390.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Quansah J. , Grimaldo A. (A),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Asllani F. , Toure B. (A),
  • 37', Kramaric A. 🟨,
  • 42', Machida K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Machida K. , Arthur Chaves ,
  • 45+2', Avdullahu L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Arthur , Poku E. ,
  • 46', Burger W. , Tohumcu U. ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Lemperle T. , Asllani F. (A),
  • 75', Hranac R. , Akpoguma K. ,
  • 75', Lemperle T. , Prass A. ,
  • 84', Tohumcu U. 🟨,
  • 84', Maza I. , Echeverri C. ,
  • 85', Tella N. , Kofane C. M. ,
  • 88', Coufal V. , Promel G. ,

Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
59.7%
Draw
21.6%
Hoffenheim
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 19.7% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7% 22.1% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.5)
    4.51
    (4.87)
    5.34
    (5.83)
    3.5%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 35 - 77.8%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 5 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 65.7%89.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 5.
    • Bayer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hoffenheim is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Hoffenheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Bayer has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bayer is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J. (Knee Injury) Hofmann J. (Muscle Injury) Palacios E. (Muscle Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tillman M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Broken Leg) Kabak O. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Bade L. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Bayer will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:33. (average 1.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim 3:1
    14.09.2024 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 1:4
    30.03.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim 2:1
    04.11.2023 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3
    11.02.2023 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 1:3
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    16.08.2025 Hansa Rostock - Hoffenheim 0:4
    01.08.2025 Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim 0:3
    01.08.2025 Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim 0:1
    26.07.2025 Hoffenheim - Darmstadt 3:1
    23.07.2025 Hoffenheim - Homburg 4:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22009:276
    2FC Koln22005:146
    3Eintracht Frankfurt32018:536
    4Dortmund21106:334
    5St. Pauli21105:324
    6Wolfsburg21104:224
    7Bayer Leverkusen31117:614
    8Augsburg21015:413
    9Stuttgart21012:203
    10Hoffenheim21013:4-13
    11Union Berlin21012:4-23
    12RB Leipzig21012:6-43
    13Mainz20111:2-11
    14B. Monchengladbach20110:1-11
    15Hamburger SV20110:2-21
    16Werder Bremen20114:7-31
    17Heidenheim20021:5-40
    18Freiburg20022:7-50

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga