Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 18
- Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Startimes Sports Life |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Brazil | SporTV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 4 |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | SINDOnews TV |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2, Sport TV1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (267/348) | 82% (470/575) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (267/348) | 82% (470/575) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/59) | 49% (43/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (100/142) | 66% (89/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Burger W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Arthur ↓, Maza I. ↑,
- 46', Fernandez E. ↓, Kofane C. ↑,
- 48', Burger W. 🟨,
- 60', Flekken M. ↓, Blaswich J. ↑,
- 62', Hranac R. 🟨,
- 69', Asllani F. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
- 74', Poku E. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
- 79', Prass A. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,
- 79', Kramaric A. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
- 81', Tella N. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
- 84', Quansah J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lemperle T. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hoffenheim
40.4% | Draw
25.4% | Bayer Leverkusen
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)The chances for Bayer Leverkusen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.33) |
3.75 ↓
(3.82) |
2.78 ↓
(2.79) |
4.9%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen?
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 17 - 38.6%). Bayer will win (votes: 19 - 43.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 28.6% – 57.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 4 - 40%). Bayer (votes: 6 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Bayer (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Bayer (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Bayer (votes: 9 - 69.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.
- Hoffenheim is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Bayer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bayer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Hlozek A.
(Calf Injury)
Machida K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bayer: Ben Seghir E.
(International duty)
Tapsoba E.
(Rest)
- There are questionable in Bayer: Palacios E.
(Groin Injury)
Tape A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:36. (average 1.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.5:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Hoffenheim has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Hoffenheim?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
23.08.2025
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Hoffenheim
1:2
02.02.2025
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Hoffenheim
3:1
14.09.2024
Hoffenheim
-
Bayer Leverkusen
1:4
30.03.2024
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Hoffenheim
2:1
04.11.2023
Hoffenheim
-
Bayer Leverkusen
2:3
Latest results of Hoffenheim
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 105:27 | 78 | 76 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60:29 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60:38 | 22 | 56 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 59:39 | 20 | 52 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57:43 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 54:54 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 9 | Mainz | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 36:53 | -17 | 33 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:50 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 31 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:52 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 39:65 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:64 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
