Result
2:1
08/05/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Albania | RTSH |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Sport |
 Belgium | RTL |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Bulgaria | BTV Action |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay, V Sport Ultra |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Malaysia | Astro |
 Netherlands | RTL 7 |
 Romania | Orange Sport, Prima Sport 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport, RTS Serbia |
 Sweden | TV4 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.29 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 651 | 486 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 581 | 415 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 137 | 61 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 71 | 24 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 6 | 24 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Distance Covered (km) |
|---|
| 117 | 120 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Gnabry S. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 68', 0 - 1, Davies A. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
- 69', Kroos T. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
- 70', Tchouameni A. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
- 76', Sane L. ↓, Kim Min-Jae ↑,
- 81', Rodrygo ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
- 81', Valverde F. ↓, Joselu ↑,
- 84', Kane H. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
- 85', Musiala J. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Joselu ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Joselu ⚽, Rudiger A. (A),
- 90+7', Tuchel T. 🟨,
- 90+10', Bellingham J. ↓, Militao E. ↑,
- 90+11', Camavinga E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Madrid
49.2% | Draw
25% | Bayern Munich
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Real Madrid - Bayern Munich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.93) |
3.86 ↑
(3.78) |
3.73 ↓
(3.73) |
3.5%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Univision, TUDN
What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Bayern Munich?
Users Predictions:
Real Madrid will win
(138 of 166 users predict this - 83.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.43% – 88.83%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 2.
- Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Bayern is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Real will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Real: Alaba D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bayern: Boey S.
(Muscle Injury)
Buchmann T.
(Muscle Injury)
Coman K.
(Muscle Injury)
Guerreiro R.
(Ankle Injury)
Marusic G.
(Knee Injury)
Sarr B.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Real won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Real won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Bayern Munich?
Real Madrid has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Real Madrid?
Bayern Munich has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Bayern Munich were as follows:
30.04.2024
Bayern Munich
-
Real Madrid
2:2
Latest results of Real Madrid
Latest results of Bayern Munich
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | 1 : 3 |
