Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/05/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
albaniaAlbaniaRTSH
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
belgiumBelgiumRTL
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, V Sport Ultra
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro
netherlandsNetherlandsRTL 7
romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport, Prima Sport 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport, RTS Serbia
swedenSwedenTV4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.290.41
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
198
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
61
Blocked Shots
62
Free Kicks
1211
Corner Kicks
84
Offsides
02
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Fouls
1110
Yellow Cards
10
Total Passes
651486
Completed Passes
581415
Tackles
1414
Attacks
13761
Dangerous Attacks
7124
Clearances Completed
624
Crosses Completed
40
Distance Covered (km)
117120

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Gnabry S. , Davies A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 68', 0 - 1, Davies A. , Kane H. (A),
  • 69', Kroos T. , Modric L. ,
  • 70', Tchouameni A. , Camavinga E. ,
  • 76', Sane L. , Kim Min-Jae ,
  • 81', Rodrygo , Diaz B. ,
  • 81', Valverde F. , Joselu ,
  • 84', Kane H. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 85', Musiala J. , Muller T. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Joselu , Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Joselu , Rudiger A. (A),
  • 90+7', Tuchel T. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Bellingham J. , Militao E. ,
  • 90+11', Camavinga E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
49.2%
Draw
25%
Bayern Munich
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 25.2% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 24.7% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Real Madrid - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.93)
    3.86
    (3.78)
    3.73
    (3.73)
    3.5%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Univision, TUDN
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (138 of 166 users predict this - 83.13%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.43%88.83%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 2.
    • Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Bayern is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Real will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Muscle Injury) Buchmann T. (Muscle Injury) Coman K. (Muscle Injury) Guerreiro R. (Ankle Injury) Marusic G. (Knee Injury) Sarr B. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Real won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    30.04.2024 Bayern Munich - Real Madrid 2:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    04.05.2024 Real Madrid - Cádiz 3:0
    21.04.2024 Real Madrid - Barcelona 3:2
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2