Merthyr Town vs Bedford Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
7:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Ebanks C. ,
  • 6', 1 - 1, Ryan-Phillips C. ,
  • 29', 2 - 1, Cox C. ,
  • 30', 3 - 1, Garrick J. ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 54', 4 - 1, Twamley L. ,
  • 64', 5 - 1, Handley T. ,
  • 80', 6 - 1, Rai K. ,
  • 90', 7 - 1, Xavier-Jones T. ,

Chances of winning


Merthyr Town
50%
Draw
22.5%
Bedford Town
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 23.2% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 22.3% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Merthyr Town - Bedford Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.84)
    4.12
    (4)
    3.36
    (3.52)
    8.4%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
    • Merthyr has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bedford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Merthyr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Merthyr might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Bedford Town were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Bedford Town - Merthyr Town 3:4
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    Latest results of Bedford Town
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde4430410104:495594
    2South Shields432710694:405491
    3Kidderminster432212967:481978
    4Macclesfield422371278:601876
    5Scarborough4418151158:50869
    6Chester4419121364:63169
    7Darlington442081676:641268
    8Merthyr Town432141889:791067
    9Buxton432061773:581566
    10AFC Telford4417131484:622264
    11Spennymoor4418101659:68-964
    12Marine421871757:63-661
    13Radcliffe431762073:77-457
    14Southport4315121661:65-457
    15Worksop441592057:72-1554
    16Chorley4414111963:63053
    17Bedford4413121964:75-1151
    18Curzon Ashton4413121964:81-1751
    19Oxford City4313111956:63-750
    20Kingu2019s Lynn4412141855:63-850
    21Hereford421292156:73-1745
    22Alfreton4311122041:75-3445
    23Peterborough Sports ✔ 441082649:86-3738
    24Leamington ✔ 44782938:83-4529

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Peterborough Sports is Relegated to
    Leamington is Relegated to