Lusitano GC vs Belenenses – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
07/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
12
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
55
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Pinto A. , Paulo D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Valente A. , Afonso A. ,
  • 61', Souza E. , Paredes J. ,
  • 65', Baptista T. , Gomes A. ,
  • 68', Morgado T. 🟨,
  • 71', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • 72', Bandarra M. , Machado J. ,
  • 79', Carvalho E. , Prego B. ,
  • 79', Almara F. , Isnaba G. ,
  • 83', Davou S. 🟨,
  • 87', Horta Leitao D. , Eduardo W. ,
  • 87', Barros E. , Sambu M. ,
  • 89', Davou S. , Sonhi Y. ,
  • 89', Lopes D. , Sequeira G. ,

Chances of winning


Lusitano GC
33.4%
Draw
30.4%
Belenenses
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 30.8% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 30.4% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Lusitano GC - Belenenses Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.64)
    3.03
    (2.97)
    2.55
    (2.66)
    8.5%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Lusitano GC is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Belenenses has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitano GC - Belenenses were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Belenenses - Lusitano GC 1:0
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    30.11.2025 Mafra - Lusitano GC 1:1
    22.11.2025 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 0:2
    01.11.2025 Lusitano GC - 1 Dezembro 2:0
    26.10.2025 Caldas - Lusitano GC 2:1
    Latest results of Belenenses
    30.11.2025 Atlético CP - Belenenses 1:2
    09.11.2025 Belenenses - Mafra 2:1
    26.10.2025 1 Dezembro - Belenenses 0:1
    19.10.2025 Belenenses - Estoril Praia 1:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

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