Palermo vs Benevento – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Palermo - Benevento
Result
1:1
22/04/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 34
  • Referee: Maggioni L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySky Sport

Chances of winning


Palermo
48.6%
Draw
28.1%
Benevento
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 30.3% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 29.5% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palermo's performance.
  • Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Palermo - Benevento Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.19)
    3.35
    (3.07)
    4.01
    (3.43)
    6.1%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Palermo - Benevento?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Benevento will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 25.5%74.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Palermo has the most likely position - 10 (16.32%), project points - 50, currently - 43, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of prom. playoffs (22%), a very small chance of promoted (1%), not chance of win league.
    • Benevento has the most likely position - 20 (70.08%), project points - 35, currently - 30, a very good chance of relegated (96%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • This event has small quality 28, small importance 14, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Palermo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Benevento is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Palermo is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Palermo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Benevento were as follows:
    04.12.2022 Benevento - Palermo 0:1
    Latest results of Palermo
    15.04.2023 Venezia - Palermo 3:2
    10.04.2023 Palermo - Nuova Cosenza 0:0
    01.04.2023 Parma - Palermo 2:1
    17.03.2023 Palermo - Modena 5:2
    11.03.2023 Cittadella - Palermo 3:3
    Latest results of Benevento
    15.04.2023 Benevento - Reggina 1:1
    10.04.2023 Benevento - SPAL 1:3
    01.04.2023 Bari - Benevento 2:0
    18.03.2023 Pisa - Benevento 2:0
    11.03.2023 Benevento - Como 0:0
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2