Palermo vs Venezia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo).

Serie B - Round 6
Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.21	0.49
Ball Possession
36%	64%
Total shots
3	11
Shots on target
1	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
69% (168/243)	86% (387/448)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.21	0.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.07	0.50
Total shots
3	11
Shots on target
1	3
Shots off target
1	3
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
2	4
Shots outside the Box
1	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
13	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	5
Free Kicks
14	20
Passes
69% (168/243)	86% (387/448)
Long passes
32% (18/57)	49% (20/41)
Passes in final third
55% (47/85)	81% (107/132)
Crosses
8% (1/13)	7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.74	0.50
Throw-ins
20	11
Fouls
20	14
Tackles
38% (5/13)	50% (2/4)
Duels won
45	52
Clearances
19	24
Interceptions
8	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.50	0.07
Goals prevented
0.50	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Pierozzi N. 🟨,
31', Augello T. 🟨,
33', Doumbia I. 🟨,
37', Bani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Augello T. ↓, Gyasi E. ↑,
46', Pierozzi N. ↓, Peda P. ↑,
49', Ceccaroni P. 🟨,
58', Brunori M. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
58', Giovane S. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
66', Lella N. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
78', Haps R. ↓, Bjarkason B. ↑,
85', Diakite S. ↓, Bereszynski B. ↑,
86', Busio G. 🟨,
90+2', Perez K. ↓, Bohinen E. ↑,
90+2', Fila D. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
90+2', Ceccaroni P. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2rs62wad

Chances of winning

Palermo
45.4%

Draw
28.2%

Venezia
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.3%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

25.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Palermo - Venezia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.06)	3.34 ↓ (3.56)	3.57 ↑ (3.32)	6.2% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Palermo - Venezia?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Palermo (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Palermo (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Palermo might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Palermo: Bardi F. (Inactive) Diakite S. (Inactive) Gomis A. (Arm Injury) Ranocchia F. (Inactive)
There will not play in Venezia: Conde C. (Broken Leg) Franjic B. (Injury)
There are questionable in Palermo: Gomes C. (Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Venezia?

Palermo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Palermo?

Venezia has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Venezia were as follows:

24.05.2024 Venezia - Palermo 2:1

20.05.2024 Palermo - Venezia 0:1

15.03.2024 Palermo - Venezia 0:3

26.09.2023 Venezia - Palermo 1:3

15.04.2023 Venezia - Palermo 3:2

Latest results of Palermo

27.09.2025 Cesena - Palermo 1:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Udinese - Palermo 2:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Palermo - Bari 2:0 ✺

14.09.2025 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo 0:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Palermo - Frosinone 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Venezia

27.09.2025 Venezia - Spezia 2:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Verona - Venezia 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Venezia - Cesena 1:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Pescara - Venezia 2:2 ✺

05.09.2025 Rapid Wien - Venezia 1:1 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	34	21	9	4	68:29	39	72
2	Frosinone	34	19	12	3	65:33	32	69
3	Monza	34	20	9	5	53:27	26	69
4	Palermo	34	18	11	5	55:28	27	65
5	Catanzaro	33	14	12	7	51:40	11	54
6	Modena	33	14	9	10	44:29	15	51
7	Juve Stabia	34	11	15	8	41:41	0	48
8	Cesena	34	12	8	14	42:50	-8	44
9	Carrarese	34	10	12	12	44:45	-1	42
10	Sudtirol	34	8	16	10	36:37	-1	40
11	Mantova	34	11	7	16	39:48	-9	40
12	Sampdoria	34	10	10	14	34:44	-10	40
13	Avellino	34	10	10	14	38:54	-16	40
14	Padova	34	9	10	15	33:45	-12	37
15	Empoli	34	8	12	14	43:49	-6	36
16	Entella	34	8	11	15	32:47	-15	35
17	Bari	34	8	10	16	33:53	-20	34
18	Reggiana	34	8	9	17	33:52	-19	33
19	Pescara	34	7	11	16	47:61	-14	32
20	Spezia	34	7	9	18	32:51	-19	30

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation