Result
0:0
24/01/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 21
- Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (239/341) | 76% (309/404) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (239/341) | 76% (309/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (40/91) | 43% (22/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (51/98) | 62% (78/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Gomes C. ↓, Gyasi E. ↑,
- 63', De Luca M. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
- 63', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
- 76', Gyasi E. 🟨,
- 77', Peda P. ↓, Bereszynski B. ↑,
- 80', Massolin Y. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 80', Mendes P. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 83', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
- 83', Palumbo A. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
- 84', Nador S. 🟨,
- 89', Santoro S. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Modena
41.4% | Draw
30.4% | Palermo
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Modena - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.17) |
3.09 ↓
(3.24) |
3.34 ↑
(3.33) |
6.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Modena - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Palermo will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 17% – 68.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Palermo (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Modena (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Palermo (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 0.
- Modena has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Palermo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Modena could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Modena: Sersanti A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Palermo: Magnani G.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Palermo?
Modena has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Modena?
Palermo has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Palermo were as follows:
19.10.2025
Palermo
-
Modena
1:1
12.01.2025
Palermo
-
Modena
2:0
19.10.2024
Modena
-
Palermo
2:2
20.01.2024
Palermo
-
Modena
4:2
07.10.2023
Modena
-
Palermo
0:2
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
