Benfica B vs Penafiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Benfica B - Penafiel
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Benfica B
55%
Draw
24.2%
Penafiel
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 24.3% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 23.3% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Benfica B - Penafiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.69)
    3.84
    (3.85)
    4.53
    (4.59)
    7.1%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 3.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Benfica B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Benfica B is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica B won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica B - Penafiel were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Benfica B - Penafiel 1:1
    29.12.2024 Penafiel - Benfica B 1:1
    16.03.2024 Penafiel - Benfica B 0:1
    04.11.2023 Benfica B - Penafiel 1:0
    12.11.2022 Benfica B - Penafiel 1:2
    Latest results of Benfica B
    27.09.2025 Benfica B - Torreense 3:3
    13.09.2025 Felgueiras - Benfica B 2:1
    30.08.2025 Benfica B - Portimonense 1:2
    25.08.2025 Lusitânia - Benfica B 1:1
    17.08.2025 Benfica B - Leixões 1:1
    Latest results of Penafiel
    27.09.2025 Penafiel - Felgueiras 2:0
    21.09.2025 Portimonense B - Penafiel 2:1
    13.09.2025 Lusitânia - Penafiel 0:0
    30.08.2025 Penafiel - Chaves 0:2
    24.08.2025 Leixões - Penafiel 3:2
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela642011:3814
    2Maritimo64116:2413
    3Sporting CP B64027:3412
    4Chaves62409:5410
    5Leiria53116:4210
    6Portimonense631210:11-110
    7Lusitania FC62317:709
    8Feirense62228:538
    9Torreense62228:628
    10SC Farense62135:8-37
    11Leixoes62137:9-27
    12Felgueiras62136:9-37
    13Oliveirense51314:406
    14Academico Viseu61239:10-15
    15Penafiel61235:7-25
    16Benfica B60428:10-24
    17Pacos Ferreira60423:7-44
    18FC Porto B60243:12-92

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