Penafiel vs Benfica B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
01/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 24
  • Referee: Lima F. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
45
Corner kicks
46
Yellow cards
26
Red cards
01
Total shots
108
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
46
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1013
Throw ins
1820
Fouls
1210

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Schutte R. , Alcaina R. ,
  • 15', Fonseca J. , Silva R. ,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Figueiredo M. , Ferreira M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Negrao G. , Davo ,
  • 55', Moreira C. 🟨,
  • 55', Rego J. 🟨,
  • 61', Prioste D. 🟨,
  • 62', Trevisan J. , Edokpolor P. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Pereira B. ,
  • 70', Pedro Sa , Reko ,
  • 75', Davo 🟨,
  • 78', Oliveira G. 🟨,
  • 81', Rego J. , de Sousa T. ,
  • 82', Figueiredo M. , Freitas T. ,
  • 88', Alcaina R. , Sery J. ,
  • 89', Santos A. , Ze Leite ,
  • 90+3', Ferreira M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Oliveira G. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Penafiel
29.4%
Draw
28.5%
Benfica B
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 27.5% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 27% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Penafiel aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Penafiel - Benfica B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (3.23)
    3.23
    (3.39)
    2.2
    (2.14)
    8.6%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Penafiel - Benfica B?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Penafiel: 45%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Penafiel (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Penafiel will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Penafiel (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Benfica B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Benfica B could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Benfica B were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Benfica B - Penafiel 0:2
    11.05.2025 Benfica B - Penafiel 1:1
    29.12.2024 Penafiel - Benfica B 1:1
    16.03.2024 Penafiel - Benfica B 0:1
    04.11.2023 Benfica B - Penafiel 1:0
    Latest results of Penafiel
    22.02.2026 Felgueiras - Penafiel 0:0
    16.02.2026 Penafiel - Lusitânia 2:0
    06.02.2026 Chaves - Penafiel 0:1
    30.01.2026 Penafiel - Leixões 0:0
    25.01.2026 Oliveirense - Penafiel 2:1
    Latest results of Benfica B
    21.02.2026 Torreense - Benfica B 1:0
    14.02.2026 Benfica B - Felgueiras 4:2
    09.02.2026 Portimonense - Benfica B 1:1
    29.01.2026 Benfica B - Lusitânia 1:2
    24.01.2026 Leixões - Benfica B 0:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo29186544:212360
    2Academico Viseu29155953:332050
    3Torreense291441136:30646
    4Leiria291210745:36946
    5Vizela29128937:34344
    6Benfica B291011841:35641
    7Sporting CP B291321441:301141
    8FC Porto B281251136:35141
    9Feirense291181032:32041
    10Chaves291161231:29239
    11Lusitania FC281081037:44-738
    12Leixoes291151335:50-1538
    13Penafiel29981228:30-235
    14Felgueiras298101125:34-934
    15SC Farense29881325:35-1032
    16Pacos Ferreira297111126:39-1332
    17Portimonense29861531:42-1130
    18Oliveirense29691427:41-1427

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