Result
1:1
11/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 33
- Referee: Torres M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Portugal | Benfica TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Reko ↓, Batista D. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 0, Rego J. ⚽, Parente T. (A),
- 55', 1 - 1, Silva A. ⚽, Pinheiro Edu (A),
- 58', Gustavo Marques 🟨,
- 68', Veloso J. ↓, Luis R. ↑,
- 68', Varela G. ↓, Melro J. ↑,
- 68', Chico Teixeira ↓, Maga ↑,
- 68', Negrao G. ↓, Brito D. ↑,
- 76', Felix H. ↓, Lima I. ↑,
- 76', Spencer D. ↓, Cruz F. ↑,
- 79', Pereira B. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 81', Silva J. 🟨,
- 82', Pinheiro Edu 🟨,
- 88', Pinheiro Edu ↓, Leal J. ↑,
- 88', Luan ↓, Souza B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Benfica B
55.6% | Draw
24.6% | Penafiel
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica B's performance.Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Benfica B - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.85) |
3.77 ↑
(3.43) |
4.64 ↑
(4.1) |
8.3%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Benfica B - Penafiel?
Users Predictions:
Benfica B will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 3.
- Benfica B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Penafiel has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Benfica B is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Benfica B won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica B won against Penafiel?
Benfica B has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Benfica B?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica B - Penafiel were as follows:
29.12.2024
Penafiel
-
Benfica B
1:1
16.03.2024
Penafiel
-
Benfica B
0:1
04.11.2023
Benfica B
-
Penafiel
1:0
12.11.2022
Benfica B
-
Penafiel
1:2
Latest results of Benfica B
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vizela | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Leixoes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Feirense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Lusitania FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Torreense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Leiria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Maritimo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Portimonense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Chaves | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Benfica B | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Oliveirense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Academico Viseu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Felgueiras | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
