Result
1:1
01/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 24
- Referee: Lima F. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Schutte R. ↓, Alcaina R. ↑,
- 15', Fonseca J. ↓, Silva R. ↑,
- 37', 0 - 1, Figueiredo M. ⚽, Ferreira M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Negrao G. ↓, Davo ↑,
- 55', Moreira C. 🟨,
- 55', Rego J. 🟨,
- 61', Prioste D. 🟨,
- 62', Trevisan J. ↓, Edokpolor P. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Pereira B. ⚽,
- 70', Pedro Sa ↓, Reko ↑,
- 75', Davo 🟨,
- 78', Oliveira G. 🟨,
- 81', Rego J. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
- 82', Figueiredo M. ↓, Freitas T. ↑,
- 88', Alcaina R. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
- 89', Santos A. ↓, Ze Leite ↑,
- 90+3', Ferreira M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Oliveira G. 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Penafiel
29.4% | Draw
28.5% | Benfica B
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)The ML Model estimate for Penafiel aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Penafiel - Benfica B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↓
(3.23) |
3.23 ↓
(3.39) |
2.2 ↑
(2.14) |
8.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Benfica B?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Penafiel: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Penafiel (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Penafiel will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Penafiel (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Benfica B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Benfica B could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Benfica B?
Penafiel has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica B won against Penafiel?
Benfica B has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Benfica B were as follows:
05.10.2025
Benfica B
-
Penafiel
0:2
11.05.2025
Benfica B
-
Penafiel
1:1
29.12.2024
Penafiel
-
Benfica B
1:1
16.03.2024
Penafiel
-
Benfica B
0:1
04.11.2023
Benfica B
-
Penafiel
1:0
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
