Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 26
- Referee: Bessa J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Hungary | Selekt, Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.65 | 2.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (225/295) | 84% (370/442) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.65 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.48 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 49 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (225/295) | 84% (370/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (13/42) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (28/53) | 72% (99/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 33% (11/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 3.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | 2.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Barbero I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 22', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 45+3', Barbero I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', Lee H. 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 1, Rios R. ⚽, Schjelderup A. (A),
- 59', Silva A. 🟨,
- 59', Rios R. 🟨,
- 70', Lee H. ↓, Gozalbez P. ↑,
- 73', Bah A. ↓, Dedic A. ↑,
- 74', Silva A. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
- 74', Rafa Silva ↓, Sudakov G. ↑,
- 74', Lukebakio D. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
- 75', Djouahra N. ↓, Puche ↑,
- 76', Monteiro D. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 78', Gozalbez P. 🟨,
- 79', Barbero I. ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
- 80', Sanchez J. ↓, Popovic B. ↑,
- 80', De Arruabarrena I. 🟨,
- 87', Schjelderup A. ↓, Anisio ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Ivanovic F. ⚽, Prestianni G. (A),
- 90+9', Dedic A. 🟥,
- 90+9', Trezza A. 🟥,
- 90+9', Pavlidis V. 🟨,
- 90+11', Trubin A. 🟨,
- 90+12', Prestianni G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arouca
9.9% | Draw
16.6% | Benfica
73.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Arouca - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.6 ↓
(9.8) |
5.72 ↑
(5.4) |
1.29 ↓
(1.3) |
5.3%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Arouca - Benfica?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Benfica will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Benfica is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Arouca: Flores M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Benfica: Aursnes F.
(Injury)
Barrenechea E.
(Inactive)
Bruma
(Inactive)
Felix N.
(Knee Injury)
Otamendi N.
(Injury)
Veloso J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Arouca: Pedro Santos
(Inactive)
Sanchez J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 9:55. (average 0.5:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 3:19. (average 0.3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Benfica?
Arouca has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Arouca?
Benfica has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Benfica were as follows:
25.10.2025
Benfica
-
Arouca
5:0
13.04.2025
Benfica
-
Arouca
2:2
01.12.2024
Arouca
-
Benfica
0:2
12.05.2024
Benfica
-
Arouca
5:0
06.01.2024
Arouca
-
Benfica
0:3
Latest results of Benfica
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
