Benfica vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Benfica - Atlético Madrid
Result
4:0
02/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5, Moja TV
brazilBrazilMax
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN 3
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3, Cosmote Sport 4K
hong-kongHong-kongNow Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2, Viaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 255
laosLaosbeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSportsMax 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, SportsMax App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.930.26
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
194
Shots on Goal
110
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
42
Free Kicks
77
Corner Kicks
42
Offsides
11
Goalkeeper Saves
07
Fouls
68
Yellow Cards
14
Total Passes
687601
Completed Passes
595527
Clearances Completed
77
Crosses Completed
84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Akturkoglu K. , Aursnes F. (A),
  • 23', Aursnes F. 🟨,
  • 33', Llorente M. , Molina N. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Griezmann A. , Sorloth A. ,
  • 46', de Paul R. , Serrano J. ,
  • 46', Koke , Gallagher C. ,
  • 52', 2 - 0, Di Maria A. (Pen),
  • 60', Alvarez J. , Simeone G. ,
  • 60', Pavlidis V. , Amdouni Z. ,
  • 70', Serrano J. 🟨,
  • 71', Di Maria A. , Rollheiser B. ,
  • 71', Akturkoglu K. , Beste J. ,
  • 75', 3 - 0, Bah A. , Beste J. (A),
  • 83', Gimenez J. M. 🟨,
  • 83', Mandava R. 🟨,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Kokcu O. (Pen),
  • 85', Bah A. , Silva A. ,
  • 86', Kokcu O. , Barreiro L. ,
  • 90+5', Correa A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Benfica
35.8%
Draw
28.8%
Atlético Madrid
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 27.7% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5% 28.9% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Benfica - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (3.02)
    3.34
    (3.47)
    2.74
    (2.37)
    3.5%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Benfica - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 8 - 19.5%). Atlético will win (votes: 12 - 29.3%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 51.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9%66.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Benfica in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Atlético is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Benfica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Benfica: Gouveia T. (Shoulder Injury) Sanches R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Azpilicueta C. (Calf Injury) Le Normand R. (Head Injury)
    • There are questionable in Benfica: Aursnes F. (Injury) Bah A. (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    Latest results of Benfica
    28.09.2024 Benfica - Gil Vicente 5:1
    23.09.2024 Boavista - Benfica 0:3
    14.09.2024 Benfica - Santa Clara 4:1
    30.08.2024 Moreirense - Benfica 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV1 : 3