Benfica vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Benfica - Atlético Madrid
Result
4:0
02/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5, Moja TV
brazilBrazilMax
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN 3
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3, Cosmote Sport 4K
hong-kongHong-kongNow Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2, Viaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 255
laosLaosbeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSportsMax 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, SportsMax App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.930.26
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
194
Shots on Goal
110
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
42
Free Kicks
77
Corner Kicks
42
Offsides
11
Goalkeeper Saves
07
Fouls
68
Yellow Cards
14
Total Passes
687601
Completed Passes
595527
Clearances Completed
77
Crosses Completed
84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Akturkoglu K. , Aursnes F. (A),
  • 23', Aursnes F. 🟨,
  • 33', Llorente M. , Molina N. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Griezmann A. , Sorloth A. ,
  • 46', de Paul R. , Serrano J. ,
  • 46', Koke , Gallagher C. ,
  • 52', 2 - 0, Di Maria A. (Pen),
  • 60', Alvarez J. , Simeone G. ,
  • 60', Pavlidis V. , Amdouni Z. ,
  • 70', Serrano J. 🟨,
  • 71', Di Maria A. , Rollheiser B. ,
  • 71', Akturkoglu K. , Beste J. ,
  • 75', 3 - 0, Bah A. , Beste J. (A),
  • 83', Gimenez J. M. 🟨,
  • 83', Mandava R. 🟨,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Kokcu O. (Pen),
  • 85', Bah A. , Silva A. ,
  • 86', Kokcu O. , Barreiro L. ,
  • 90+5', Correa A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Benfica
35.8%
Draw
28.8%
Atlético Madrid
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 27.7% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5% 28.9% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Benfica - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (3.02)
    3.34
    (3.47)
    2.74
    (2.37)
    3.5%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Benfica - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 8 - 19.5%). Atlético will win (votes: 12 - 29.3%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 51.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9%66.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Benfica in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Atlético is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Benfica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Benfica: Gouveia T. (Shoulder Injury) Sanches R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Azpilicueta C. (Calf Injury) Le Normand R. (Head Injury)
    • There are questionable in Benfica: Aursnes F. (Injury) Bah A. (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    Latest results of Benfica
    28.09.2024 Benfica - Gil Vicente 5:1
    23.09.2024 Boavista - Benfica 0:3
    14.09.2024 Benfica - Santa Clara 4:1
    30.08.2024 Moreirense - Benfica 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce