Barcelona vs Benfica: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Barcelona - Benfica
Result
3:1
11/03/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
Barcelona - Benfica - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.640.74
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
208
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
93
Blocked Shots
53
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
16
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Free Kicks
84
Offsides
39
Fouls
48
Yellow Cards
01
Throw-ins
1516
Touches in the Opposition Box
2918
Passes
90% (579/646)78% (266/339)
Passes in the final third
79% (106/134)65% (54/83)
Crosses
40% (4/10)30% (3/10)
Tackles
74% (14/19)52% (13/25)
Clearances Total
1316
Interceptions
612

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Raphinha ⚽, Yamal L. (A),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Otamendi N. ⚽, Schjelderup A. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 1, Yamal L. ⚽, Raphinha (A),
  • 42', 3 - 1, Raphinha ⚽, Balde A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Silva A. 🟨,
  • 56', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Sanches R. ↑,
  • 56', Schjelderup A. ↓, Amdouni Z. ↑,
  • 70', Lewandowski R. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
  • 70', Olmo D. ↓, Gavi ↑,
  • 70', Florentino ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
  • 70', Kokcu O. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
  • 81', Yamal L. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
  • 81', de Jong F. ↓, Casado M. ↑,
  • 84', Araujo T. ↓, Rego J. ↑,
  • 87', Martinez I. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,

Chances of winning


Barcelona
68.6%		Draw
17.6%		Benfica
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 17.2% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8% 16.4% 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
    •

    Barcelona - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.4 ↑
    (1.38)    		 5.47 ↓
    (5.58)    		 7.04 ↓
    (7.06)    		 4%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)
    •
    What is the prediction for Barcelona - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 52 - 82.5%). Benfica will win (votes: 5 - 7.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 73.1% – 91.9%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 2.
    • Barcelona in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Benfica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Barcelona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Benfica have a series of home games.
    • In this match Barcelona is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Christensen A. (Calf Injury) Cubarsi P. (Red Card) ter Stegen M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Inactive) Carreras A. (Yellow Cards) Di Maria A. (Muscle Injury) Gouveia T. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Barcelona to win the game is with odds 1.4.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona - Benfica were as follows:
    05.03.2025 Benfica - Barcelona 0:1
    21.01.2025 Benfica - Barcelona 4:5
    Latest results of Barcelona
    05.03.2025 Benfica - Barcelona 0:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Barcelona - Real Sociedad 4:0 ✺
    25.02.2025 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 4:4 ✺
    22.02.2025 Las Palmas - Barcelona 0:2 ✺
    17.02.2025 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Benfica
    08.03.2025 Benfica - Nacional 3:0 ✺
    05.03.2025 Benfica - Barcelona 0:1 ✺
    26.02.2025 Benfica - Braga 1:0 ✺
    22.02.2025 Benfica - Boavista 3:0 ✺
    18.02.2025 Benfica - Monaco 3:3 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3
    3ZalgirisHamrun2 : 0
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost1 : 0
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik1 : 0
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange1 : 0
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk1 : 0
    17TNSShkendija0 : 0
    18FCSBInter Escaldes3 : 1
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski0 : 2
    21ShelbourneLinfield1 : 0
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami1 : 0
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty1 : 1
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
    Which TV channels are streaming of Barcelona - Benfica?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    afghanistanAfghanistanAsr TV, Meraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
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    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
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    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
    denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
    franceFrancebeIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Canal+ Live 4, CANAL+ Sport, Free
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    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
    hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
    irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
    israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
    kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
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    montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
    myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
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    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2, Canal+ Sport Online
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    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
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    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
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    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
    spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones
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    united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, Virgin TV Go app
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