Result
2:2
11/05/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 33
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Bold+, Sport Live |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Selekt, Sport 1 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 5 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Benfica TV, BTV Online |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.18 | 0.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (385/469) | 80% (354/443) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.18 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.28 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 49 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (385/469) | 80% (354/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (24/40) | 35% (17/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (111/158) | 69% (83/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 3.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.15 | 1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', 1 - 0, Rafa Silva ⚽,
- 48', 1 - 1, Victor P. ⚽, Gomez V. (A),
- 56', Hornicek L. 🟨,
- 57', Lelo L. 🟨,
- 61', Ivanovic F. ↓, Pavlidis V. ↑,
- 67', Martinez G. ↓, Dorgeles M. ↑,
- 74', Navarro F. ↓, Zalazar R. ↑,
- 76', Barreiro L. ↓, Lukebakio D. ↑,
- 82', Lelo L. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
- 87', Dedic A. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 2, Gorby ⚽, Dorgeles M. (A),
- 90+3', Vitor Carvalho 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Pavlidis V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+6', Gomez V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Benfica
67.5% | Draw
19.5% | Braga
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+1%)
Benfica - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.47) |
4.87 ↑
(4.47) |
7.36 ↑
(6.54) |
5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Benfica - Braga?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Benfica (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Benfica will win
(27 of 33 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.66% – 94.98%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 2.
- Benfica is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Braga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Benfica is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Benfica will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:29. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Braga?
Benfica has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Benfica?
Braga has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Braga were as follows:
07.01.2026
Benfica
-
Braga
1:3
28.12.2025
Braga
-
Benfica
2:2
17.05.2025
Braga
-
Benfica
1:1
26.02.2025
Benfica
-
Braga
1:0
08.01.2025
Benfica
-
Braga
3:0
Latest results of Benfica
Liga Portugal Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 14 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Arouca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Estrela | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14:12 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Braga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Maritimo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Alverca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:14 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 | Estoril | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:15 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
