Result
 
                    0:3
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        12/03/2023 at  14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 24
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Marítimo 8.5%
 | Draw 16.1%
 | Benfica 75.4%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Marítimo - Benfica Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 11.56 ↑ (9.05)
 | 5.69 ↑ (5.23)
 | 1.25 ↓ (1.29)
 | 5.9% (8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Marítimo - Benfica?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            34 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). Benfica will win (votes: 27 - 79.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 65.8% – 93%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
- Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (41.91%),  has project points - 28,  has currently - 16,  has a good chance of relegated (57%),  has not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Benfica has the most likely position - 1 (89.77%),  has project points - 86,  has currently - 62,  has not chance of relegated,  has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (>99%),  has a good chance of win league (90%).
- This event has quality 55, importance 53, match rating 54. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 0. 
- Marítimo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
- Benfica in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5). 
- Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. 
- In this match Benfica is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Marítimo: Mendes D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Benfica: Draxler J.
(Ankle Injury)
Ristic M.
(Muscle Injury)
 
- Last 26 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 22 matches and goals 16-83. 
- Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-21.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Benfica?
                    
                    
                        
                            Marítimo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Marítimo?
                    
                    
                        
                             Benfica has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Benfica were as follows:
                                                        
                                18.09.2022 
                                Benfica 
                                - 
                                Marítimo 
                                5:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Marítimo                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Benfica                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Sporting CP | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 25 | 
| 2 | FC Porto | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | 19 | 25 | 
| 3 | Benfica | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 | 
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 | 
| 5 | Famalicao | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 | 
| 6 | Moreirense | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 | 
| 7 | Braga | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 | 
| 8 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 | 
| 9 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 | 
| 10 | Nacional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 | 
| 11 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 | 
| 12 | Alverca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 10 | 
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 | 
| 14 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 | 
| 15 | Estrela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 | 
| 16 | Estoril | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 | 
| 17 | Tondela | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 5 | 
| 18 | AFS | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 1 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Liga Portugal (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2