Result
0:3
12/03/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 24
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
Chances of winning
Marítimo
8.5% | Draw
16.1% | Benfica
75.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Marítimo - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
11.49 ↑
(9.05) |
5.64 ↑
(5.23) |
1.26 ↓
(1.29) |
6.1%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Benfica?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). Benfica will win (votes: 27 - 79.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 65.8% – 93%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
- Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (41.91%), has project points - 28, has currently - 16, has a good chance of relegated (57%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Benfica has the most likely position - 1 (89.77%), has project points - 86, has currently - 62, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (>99%), has a good chance of win league (90%).
- This event has quality 55, importance 53, match rating 54. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 0.
- Marítimo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Benfica in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Benfica is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Marítimo: Mendes D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Benfica: Draxler J.
(Ankle Injury)
Ristic M.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 26 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 22 matches and goals 16-83.
- Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-21.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Benfica?
Marítimo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Marítimo?
Benfica has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Benfica were as follows:
18.09.2022
Benfica
-
Marítimo
5:0
Latest results of Marítimo
Latest results of Benfica
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
