Result
2:0
10/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - League phase - Round 6
- Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2 |
 Albania | Tring Sport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6 |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5, Play Sports 6 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | HBO Max |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | Canal+ Live 5 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+ Action, Canal+ |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | HBO Max |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 6 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 3 |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 6 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, Sport TV5 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 6 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 1 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | Tabii Spor 5, Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (275/357) | 84% (439/522) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (275/357) | 84% (439/522) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (20/61) | 48% (21/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 42% (27/64) | 72% (99/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 35% (9/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Rios R. ⚽, Ivanovic F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Olivera M. ↓, Spinazzola L. ↑,
- 46', Beukema S. ↓, Politano M. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 0, Barreiro L. ⚽, Rios R. (A),
- 53', Lang N. 🟨,
- 59', Buongiorno A. ↓, Juan Jesus ↑,
- 74', Lang N. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
- 76', Ivanovic F. ↓, Pavlidis V. ↑,
- 76', Sudakov G. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
- 78', Dedic A. 🟨,
- 81', Elmas E. ↓, Vergara A. ↑,
- 87', Vergara A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Aursnes F. ↓, Freitas T. ↑,
- 90+5', Barreiro L. ↓, Neto J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Benfica
34.4% | Draw
30.9% | Napoli
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica's form might have worsened.Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Benfica - Napoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.32) |
3.1 ↓
(3.59) |
2.79 ↓
(3.01) |
3.9%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Benfica - Napoli?
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 22 - 45.8%). Napoli will win (votes: 12 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 31.7% – 59.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Napoli (votes: 4 - 25%). Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Benfica (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Benfica (2.59) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH 0 - Napoli (1.93) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Napoli (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Napoli (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Benfica is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Napoli is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Benfica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Napoli has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Benfica: Bah A.
(Knee Injury)
Bruma
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Felix N.
(Knee Injury)
Lukebakio D.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F.
(Thigh Injury)
De Bruyne K.
(Thigh Injury)
Gilmour B.
(Groin Injury)
Lobotka S.
(Muscle Injury)
Lukaku R.
(Thigh Injury)
Marianucci L.
(Inactive)
Mazzocchi P.
(Inactive)
Meret A.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Benfica: Araujo H.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Napoli: Gutierrez M.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Benfica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Napoli?
Benfica has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Benfica?
Napoli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Napoli were as follows:
Latest results of Benfica
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
