Red Bull Salzburg vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Red Bull Salzburg - Benfica
Result
1:3
12/12/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
portugalPortugalEleven Sports
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Red Bull Salzburg
27.2%
Draw
24.6%
Benfica
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 25.7% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 27.2% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Bull Salzburg's form might have worsened.
  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Red Bull Salzburg - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (2.75)
    3.9
    (3.7)
    1.98
    (2.39)
    4.5%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 12 - 21.8%). Benfica will win (votes: 39 - 70.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 58.9%82.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Salzburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Benfica have a series of home games.
    • Benfica will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Salzburg: Capaldo N. (Knee Injury) Kjaergaard M. (Shoulder Injury) Solet O. (Thigh Injury) Terzic A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Antonio Silva (Red Card) Bah A. (Foot Injury) Bernat J. (Muscle Injury) David Neres (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Salzburg: Ulmer A. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Salzburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Salzburg - Benfica were as follows:
    20.09.2023 Benfica - Red Bull Salzburg 0:2
    Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
    Latest results of Benfica
    08.12.2023 Benfica - Farense 1:1
    03.12.2023 Moreirense - Benfica 0:0
    29.11.2023 Benfica - Inter Milan 3:3
    25.11.2023 Benfica - Famalicão 2:0
    12.11.2023 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 2:1
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)