Red Bull Salzburg vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Red Bull Salzburg - Benfica
Result
1:3
12/12/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max
portugalPortugalEleven Sports
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Red Bull Salzburg
27.2%
Draw
24.6%
Benfica
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 25.7% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 27.2% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Bull Salzburg's form might have worsened.
  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Red Bull Salzburg - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (2.75)
    3.9
    (3.7)
    1.98
    (2.39)
    4.5%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 12 - 21.8%). Benfica will win (votes: 39 - 70.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 58.9%82.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Salzburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Benfica have a series of home games.
    • Benfica will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Salzburg: Capaldo N. (Knee Injury) Kjaergaard M. (Shoulder Injury) Solet O. (Thigh Injury) Terzic A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Antonio Silva (Red Card) Bah A. (Foot Injury) Bernat J. (Muscle Injury) David Neres (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Salzburg: Ulmer A. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Salzburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Salzburg - Benfica were as follows:
    20.09.2023 Benfica - Red Bull Salzburg 0:2
    Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
    Latest results of Benfica
    08.12.2023 Benfica - Farense 1:1
    03.12.2023 Moreirense - Benfica 0:0
    29.11.2023 Benfica - Inter Milan 3:3
    25.11.2023 Benfica - Famalicão 2:0
    12.11.2023 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 2:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV1 : 3