Toulouse vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
22/02/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
belgiumBelgiumVOOsport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
brazilBrazilESPN 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport
germanyGermanySky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Toulouse
25.3%
Draw
25.4%
Benfica
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 26.8% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 28.2% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toulouse's form might have worsened.
  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toulouse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toulouse - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.78
    (2.87)
    3.78
    (3.63)
    1.95
    (2.47)
    4.2%
    (2.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Toulouse - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: Benfica will win (75 of 90 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.63%91.03%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Recent matches Toulouse is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Benfica in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Toulouse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Benfica will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Aboukhlal Z. (Knee Injury) Genreau D. (Hernia) Mawissa Elebi C. (Red Card) Schmidt N. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bernat J. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Benfica were as follows:
    15.02.2024 Benfica - Toulouse 2:1
    Latest results of Toulouse
    18.02.2024 Monaco - Toulouse 1:2
    15.02.2024 Benfica - Toulouse 2:1
    11.02.2024 Toulouse - Nantes 1:2
    04.02.2024 Reims - Toulouse 2:3
    28.01.2024 Toulouse - Lens 0:2
    Latest results of Benfica
    18.02.2024 Benfica - Vizela 6:1
    15.02.2024 Benfica - Toulouse 2:1
    08.02.2024 Vizela - Benfica 1:2
    04.02.2024 Benfica - Gil Vicente 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2