Result
1:1
26/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 10
- Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | TOD |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
 South-america | ESPN 6 South |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (179/248) | 88% (440/501) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (179/248) | 88% (440/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (11/37) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (47/79) | 81% (111/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 28% (8/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.58 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Under C. ⚽, Cerny V. (A),
- 32', Abraham T. (Pen),
- 33', 1 - 1, Winck C. ⚽, Frimpong G. (A),
- 36', Under C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Kanatsizkus K. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
- 66', Cafu ↓, Ustundag C. ↑,
- 75', Topcu E. 🟨,
- 75', Under C. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
- 75', Abraham T. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
- 84', Cerny V. ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
- 84', Diabate F. ↓, Kol A. ↑,
- 88', Espinoza J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Winck C. ↓, Arous A. ↑,
- 90+5', Fall M. ↓, Tasdemir E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kasımpaşa
21.7% | Draw
23.8% | Beşiktaş
54.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.33 ↑
(4.11) |
3.95 ↑
(3.92) |
1.75 ↓
(1.79) |
5.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +1 - Beşiktaş (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Beşiktaş (1.98) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Beşiktaş (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Kasımpaşa (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Beşiktaş will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Beşiktaş (votes: 7 - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 3.
- Recent performances by Kasımpaşa have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Beşiktaş is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kasımpaşa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Beşiktaş is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Cetinkaya E.
(Inactive)
Hajradinovic H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Beşiktaş: Cerny V.
(Inactive)
Djalo T.
(Inactive)
Jota Silva
(Inactive)
Sazdagi G.
(Inactive)
Tiknaz D. E.
(Knee Injury)
Toure E. B.
(Injury)
Under C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 38:37. (average 1.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Beşiktaş?
Kasımpaşa has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beşiktaş won against Kasımpaşa?
Beşiktaş has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş were as follows:
07.04.2025
Kasımpaşa
-
Beşiktaş
1:1
02.11.2024
Beşiktaş
-
Kasımpaşa
1:3
26.05.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
Beşiktaş
2:1
05.01.2024
Beşiktaş
-
Kasımpaşa
1:3
03.06.2023
Kasımpaşa
-
Beşiktaş
2:4
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Latest results of Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 58:18 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 24 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 54:23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21:45 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
