Result
0:3
28/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 24
- Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (329/419) | 80% (300/377) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (329/419) | 80% (300/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 34% (19/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (84/133) | 71% (70/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | 1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Dervisoglu H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Allevinah J. ↓, Aydin E. ↑,
- 55', Dervisoglu H. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 2, Mihaila V. ⚽, Laci Q. (A),
- 58', Mihaila V. 🟨,
- 62', Antalyali T. ↓, Papanikolaou G. ↑,
- 70', Tosun C. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
- 70', Benedyczak A. ↓, Kol A. ↑,
- 72', Mihaila V. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
- 72', Dervisoglu H. ↓, Sowe A. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 3, Mebude A. ⚽,
- 82', Kahveci I. C. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
- 85', Mebude A. ↓, Augusto L. ↑,
- 85', Akaydin S. ↓, Mocsi A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kasımpaşa
34% | Draw
28% | Çaykur Rizespor
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.55) |
3.36 ↓
(3.46) |
2.51 ↓
(2.65) |
5.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Rizespor will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasımpaşa: 42.8% – 90.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Kasımpaşa (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Kasımpaşa (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 3.
- Kasımpaşa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rizespor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rizespor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:26. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 2.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Çaykur Rizespor?
Kasımpaşa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Çaykur Rizespor won against Kasımpaşa?
Çaykur Rizespor has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor were as follows:
28.09.2025
Çaykur Rizespor
-
Kasımpaşa
1:2
09.02.2025
Kasımpaşa
-
Çaykur Rizespor
3:2
31.08.2024
Çaykur Rizespor
-
Kasımpaşa
0:1
18.05.2024
Çaykur Rizespor
-
Kasımpaşa
0:0
25.12.2023
Kasımpaşa
-
Çaykur Rizespor
2:2
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Latest results of Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 11 | Kocaelispor | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:45 | -16 | 31 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 30:44 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 23:57 | -34 | 26 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 27:53 | -26 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
