Result
2:2
15/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 77', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castro
43.3% | Draw
30.1% | Bezana
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castro's form might have worsened.Bezana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bezana than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bezana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castro - Bezana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.8) |
3.05 ↓
(3.45) |
3.45 ↓
(3.95) |
9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1.
- Castro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bezana is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Castro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Castro has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Castro is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Bezana?
Castro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bezana won against Castro?
Bezana has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Bezana were as follows:
01.11.2025
Bezana
-
Castro
2:1
23.03.2025
Bezana
-
Castro
1:1
10.11.2024
Castro
-
Bezana
1:1
21.04.2024
Castro
-
Bezana
3:0
02.12.2023
Bezana
-
Castro
1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 70:12 | 58 | 71 |
| 2 | Laredo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 56:24 | 32 | 63 |
| 3 | Tropezon | 30 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 45:24 | 21 | 60 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 39:22 | 17 | 58 |
| 5 | Atletico Albericia | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 54:33 | 21 | 55 |
| 6 | Escobedo | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 53:38 | 15 | 55 |
| 7 | Vimenor | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 55 |
| 8 | Cayon | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Torina | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 33:36 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 | Bezana | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Castro | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 41:40 | 1 | 37 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 35:54 | -19 | 29 |
| 13 | UC Cartes | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 24:46 | -22 | 26 |
| 14 | CD Colindres | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 23:40 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Revilla | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 31:59 | -28 | 24 |
| 16 | Selaya | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23:40 | -17 | 22 |
| 17 | Montanas | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29:78 | -49 | 20 |
| 18 | Noja | 30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 19:55 | -36 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
