Result
2:2
15/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 77', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castro
43.3% | Draw
30.1% | Bezana
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castro's form might have worsened.Bezana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bezana than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bezana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castro - Bezana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.8) |
3.05 ↓
(3.45) |
3.45 ↓
(3.95) |
9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1.
- Castro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bezana is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Castro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Castro has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Castro is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Bezana?
Castro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bezana won against Castro?
Bezana has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Bezana were as follows:
01.11.2025
Bezana
-
Castro
2:1
23.03.2025
Bezana
-
Castro
1:1
10.11.2024
Castro
-
Bezana
1:1
21.04.2024
Castro
-
Bezana
3:0
02.12.2023
Bezana
-
Castro
1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 65:10 | 55 | 66 |
| 2 | Laredo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 49:20 | 29 | 56 |
| 3 | Tropezon | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:23 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | Vimenor | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 38:24 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Atletico Albericia | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 49:30 | 19 | 49 |
| 6 | Escobedo | 27 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 49:34 | 15 | 49 |
| 7 | Guarnizo | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 49 |
| 8 | Cayon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 47 |
| 9 | Torina | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | Bezana | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:31 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Castro | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 38:37 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 28 |
| 13 | UC Cartes | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22:40 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | Revilla | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:55 | -25 | 23 |
| 15 | CD Colindres | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 18:37 | -19 | 18 |
| 16 | Selaya | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17:35 | -18 | 18 |
| 17 | Montanas | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:73 | -46 | 18 |
| 18 | Noja | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16:47 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
