BFC Daugavpils vs Metta LU – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Latvian Virsliga BFC Daugavpils - Metta LU
Result
4:2
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Virsliga - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV, TV4
worldWorldOnefootball, Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.77
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
86% (418/488)73% (205/279)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.77
xG on target (xGOT)
3.770.72
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
165
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
4310
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
138
Passes
86% (418/488)73% (205/279)
Long passes
60% (34/57)44% (30/68)
Passes in final third
78% (150/192)54% (46/85)
Crosses
34% (13/38)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.890.34
Throw-ins
2512
Fouls
813
Tackles
75% (9/12)83% (10/12)
Duels won
5933
Clearances
3041
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.723.77
Goals prevented
-1.28-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Rekis K. ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Diallo B. , Minins J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Diallo B. , Cucurs D. (A),
  • 56', 3 - 1, Kone M. , Minins J. (A),
  • 60', Evelons E. , Saleh S. ,
  • 60', Rekis K. , Klavinskis R. ,
  • 60', Kangars A. , Smilskalns G. ,
  • 69', Fofana W. , Promise V. ,
  • 70', Kone M. , Kumater S. ,
  • 74', 4 - 1, Saidy M. , Minins J. (A),
  • 76', Scremin G. , Molotkovs A. ,
  • 78', 4 - 2, Saleh S. ,
  • 83', Molotkovs A. 🟨,
  • 86', Kamara M. 🟨,
  • 89', Minins J. , Kopilovs M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


BFC Daugavpils
57.2%
Draw
24%
Metta LU
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 23.9% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 22.7% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Metta LU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta LU than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • BFC Daugavpils - Metta LU Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.64)
    3.82
    (3.8)
    4.86
    (4.41)
    9.3%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 2.
    • In recent matches, Daugavpils has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Metta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Metta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Daugavpils is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:24. (average 2.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:9. (average 2.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Metta LU were as follows:
    17.06.2025 Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils 2:2
    25.04.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Metta LU 2:0
    27.09.2024 BFC Daugavpils - Metta LU 1:1
    07.07.2024 Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils 3:2
    16.05.2024 BFC Daugavpils - Metta LU 4:0
    Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
    Latest results of Metta LU
    17.08.2025 RFS - Metta LU 3:2
    09.08.2025 Metta LU - Jelgava 2:2
    03.08.2025 Auda Riga - Metta LU 0:1
    27.07.2025 Riga - Metta LU 3:2
    19.07.2025 Metta LU - RFS 0:4
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC27224167:194870
    2RFS27221471:254667
    3FK Liepaja28145946:42447
    4BFC Daugavpils281171043:47-440
    5Auda281241235:31440
    6Jelgava28781326:35-929
    7Super Nova285111233:43-1026
    8Tukums 200028671529:50-2125
    9Grobina28651726:52-2623
    10Metta28561726:58-3221

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga