Metta LU vs BFC Daugavpils – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
09/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Virsliga - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.58
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
75% (270/360)78% (328/419)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.791.49
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2818
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
75% (270/360)78% (328/419)
Long passes
48% (38/79)52% (41/79)
Passes in final third
56% (59/105)66% (84/128)
Crosses
33% (5/15)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.65
Throw-ins
1824
Fouls
1514
Tackles
72% (13/18)64% (14/22)
Duels won
6364
Clearances
3618
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.491.79
Goals prevented
0.49-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Lizunovs V. , Saidy M. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Saleh S. , Scremin G. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 1, Kamara M. , Minkevics I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Skrebels R. , Kumater S. ,
  • 47', 3 - 1, Saleh S. , Rekis K. (A),
  • 62', Fofana W. , Garzha A. ,
  • 62', Promise V. , Kopilovs M. ,
  • 70', Klavinskis R. , Evelons E. ,
  • 70', Saleh S. , Bangura A. ,
  • 82', Pinaskins E. , Murakami S. ,
  • 86', Rekis K. , Kamara S. ,
  • 86', Cesnieks K. , Smilskalns G. ,
  • 90', Barkovskis N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Metta LU
33.9%
Draw
25.7%
BFC Daugavpils
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 25.2% 45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 24.4% 44%

Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.71
(3.14)
3.58
(3.65)
2.27
(2.02)
8.9%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils?
  • Users Predictions: Metta LU will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Metta LU will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metta won 1.
    • Metta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Daugavpils has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Daugavpils may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Daugavpils has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metta won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 25:44. (average 1.3:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
    23.08.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Metta LU 4:2
    17.06.2025 Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils 2:2
    25.04.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Metta LU 2:0
    27.09.2024 BFC Daugavpils - Metta LU 1:1
    07.07.2024 Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils 3:2
    Latest results of Metta LU
    02.11.2025 Jelgava - Metta LU 2:2
    26.10.2025 Metta LU - Auda Riga 3:2
    19.10.2025 Metta LU - Riga 0:1
    05.10.2025 RFS - Metta LU 5:1
    26.09.2025 Metta LU - Grobiņa 0:1
    Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
    02.11.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Liepāja 1:2
    18.10.2025 Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils 0:0
    05.10.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga 1:0
    29.09.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Riga 0:1
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1GrobinaAlberts JDFS1 : 0, 0 : 0