Result
2:2
17/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (335/425) | 79% (302/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (335/425) | 79% (302/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 52% (34/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (65/104) | 64% (81/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 42% (10/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -1.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Diallo B. (Pen),
- 26', Skrebels R. 🟨,
- 33', Cinajevs D. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 1, Kangars A. ⚽, Ivulans M. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Diallo B. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rekis K. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,
- 60', Evelons E. ↓, Saleh S. ↑,
- 60', Cucurs D. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
- 60', Barkovskis N. ↓, Diakite T. ↑,
- 71', Scremin G. ↓, Klavinskis R. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Grabovskis K. ⚽,
- 81', Fofana W. 🟨,
- 82', Fofana W. ↓, Lizunovs V. ↑,
- 82', Diedhiou B. ↓, Galajs A. ↑,
- 83', Diallo B. 🟨,
- 90+1', Grabovskis K. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
- 90+1', Cinajevs D. ↓, Bangura A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Metta LU
28.2% | Draw
27.4% | BFC Daugavpils
44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metta LU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metta LU's form might have worsened.BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta LU than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↑
(2.64) |
3.34 ↓
(3.5) |
2.06 ↓
(2.25) |
9.5%
(10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Metta (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
BFC Daugavpils will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metta won 1.
- Metta is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Daugavpils has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Daugavpils will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metta won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 24:46. (average 1.2:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Metta LU won against BFC Daugavpils?
Metta LU has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Metta LU?
BFC Daugavpils has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
25.04.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Metta LU
2:0
27.09.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Metta LU
1:1
07.07.2024
Metta LU
-
BFC Daugavpils
3:2
16.05.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Metta LU
4:0
03.04.2024
Metta LU
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:1
Latest results of Metta LU
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
