Metta LU vs BFC Daugavpils – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Latvian Virsliga Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils
Result
2:2
17/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Virsliga - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV, TV4
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.922.47
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
79% (335/425)79% (302/382)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.922.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.701.76
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
67
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
1523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
79% (335/425)79% (302/382)
Long passes
44% (23/52)52% (34/65)
Passes in final third
63% (65/104)64% (81/126)
Crosses
18% (5/28)42% (10/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.23
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
1216
Tackles
58% (7/12)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4771
Clearances
2942
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.760.70
Goals prevented
-0.24-1.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Diallo B. (Pen),
  • 26', Skrebels R. 🟨,
  • 33', Cinajevs D. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Kangars A. , Ivulans M. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Diallo B. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rekis K. , Kamara S. ,
  • 60', Evelons E. , Saleh S. ,
  • 60', Cucurs D. , Kone M. ,
  • 60', Barkovskis N. , Diakite T. ,
  • 71', Scremin G. , Klavinskis R. ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Grabovskis K. ,
  • 81', Fofana W. 🟨,
  • 82', Fofana W. , Lizunovs V. ,
  • 82', Diedhiou B. , Galajs A. ,
  • 83', Diallo B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Grabovskis K. , Kamara M. ,
  • 90+1', Cinajevs D. , Bangura A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Metta LU
28.2%
Draw
27.4%
BFC Daugavpils
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 25.8% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 26.6% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metta LU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metta LU's form might have worsened.
  • BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta LU than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.24
    (2.64)
    3.34
    (3.5)
    2.06
    (2.25)
    9.5%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Metta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: BFC Daugavpils will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metta won 1.
    • Metta is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Daugavpils has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Daugavpils will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metta won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 24:46. (average 1.2:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
    25.04.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Metta LU 2:0
    27.09.2024 BFC Daugavpils - Metta LU 1:1
    07.07.2024 Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils 3:2
    16.05.2024 BFC Daugavpils - Metta LU 4:0
    03.04.2024 Metta LU - BFC Daugavpils 0:1
    Latest results of Metta LU
    13.06.2025 Jelgava - Metta LU 2:1
    29.05.2025 Auda Riga - Metta LU 4:1
    24.05.2025 Metta LU - Riga 0:3
    20.05.2025 RFS - Metta LU 2:0
    15.05.2025 Metta LU - Grobiņa 1:1
    Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
    13.06.2025 Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils 1:1
    25.05.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava 1:0
    20.05.2025 Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils 1:1
    14.05.2025 BFC Daugavpils - Riga 0:1
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC23184155:154058
    2RFS23181457:203755
    3Auda23114834:26837
    4FK Liepaja23105838:36235
    5BFC Daugavpils2386934:42-830
    6Jelgava23761020:25-527
    7Super Nova23491026:32-621
    8Tukums 200023561225:41-1621
    9Grobina23541421:44-2319
    10Metta23451418:47-2917

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
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          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga