Result
4:2
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (418/488) | 73% (205/279) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.77 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (418/488) | 73% (205/279) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (34/57) | 44% (30/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (150/192) | 54% (46/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (13/38) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 3.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.28 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Rekis K. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, Diallo B. ⚽, Minins J. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 54', 2 - 1, Diallo B. ⚽, Cucurs D. (A),
- 56', 3 - 1, Kone M. ⚽, Minins J. (A),
- 60', Evelons E. ↓, Saleh S. ↑,
- 60', Rekis K. ↓, Klavinskis R. ↑,
- 60', Kangars A. ↓, Smilskalns G. ↑,
- 69', Fofana W. ↓, Promise V. ↑,
- 70', Kone M. ↓, Kumater S. ↑,
- 74', 4 - 1, Saidy M. ⚽, Minins J. (A),
- 76', Scremin G. ↓, Molotkovs A. ↑,
- 78', 4 - 2, Saleh S. ⚽,
- 83', Molotkovs A. 🟨,
- 86', Kamara M. 🟨,
- 89', Minins J. ↓, Kopilovs M. ↑,
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils
57.2% | Draw
24% | Metta LU
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Metta LU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta LU than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
BFC Daugavpils - Metta LU Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.64) |
3.82 ↑
(3.8) |
4.86 ↑
(4.41) |
9.3%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 2.
- In recent matches, Daugavpils has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Metta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Metta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Daugavpils is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:24. (average 2.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:9. (average 2.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Metta LU?
BFC Daugavpils has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metta LU won against BFC Daugavpils?
Metta LU has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Metta LU were as follows:
17.06.2025
Metta LU
-
BFC Daugavpils
2:2
25.04.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Metta LU
2:0
27.09.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Metta LU
1:1
07.07.2024
Metta LU
-
BFC Daugavpils
3:2
16.05.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Metta LU
4:0
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latest results of Metta LU
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 30 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 77 |
| 2 | RFS | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 77:30 | 47 | 71 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 51:43 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:54 | -7 | 43 |
| 5 | Auda | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 38:39 | -1 | 43 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 32 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 36:48 | -12 | 26 |
| 9 | Grobina | 31 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 10 | Metta | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 30:63 | -33 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
