Result
0:1
27/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, Virsliga Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (236/348) | 67% (199/296) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (236/348) | 67% (199/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (28/78) | 42% (30/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (72/124) | 51% (50/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 74', Glaudans A. ↓, Vasilevskis M. ↑,
- 78', Vasilevskis M. 🟨,
- 85', Skrebels R. 🟨,
- 86', Pathe N. ↓, Sitjakovs R. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 1, Beks J. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils
47.4% | Draw
27% | Super Nova
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(1.98) |
3.39 ↑
(3.35) |
3.57 ↑
(3.45) |
9.3%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova?
Users Predictions:
BFC Daugavpils will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 1.
- Daugavpils is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Super Nova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Super Nova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Daugavpils could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Super Nova?
BFC Daugavpils has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against BFC Daugavpils?
Super Nova has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova were as follows:
25.10.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Super Nova
2:2
02.08.2025
Super Nova
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:1
01.06.2025
Super Nova
-
BFC Daugavpils
4:1
15.04.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Super Nova
1:1
23.09.2023
Super Nova
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:1
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latest results of Super Nova
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 20 | 20 |
| 3 | Auda | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Super Nova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | FK Liepaja | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Grobina | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Jelgava | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
