Result
0:1
29/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (263/345) | 84% (363/434) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 2.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (263/345) | 84% (363/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (25/61) | 50% (22/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (58/93) | 77% (127/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 94% (15/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Cernomordijs A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 1, Grimaldo J. ⚽, Mankenda G. (A),
- 55', Iago Siqueira 🟨,
- 57', Varslavans R. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
- 66', Murakami S. ↓, Promise V. ↑,
- 66', Kone M. ↓, Fofana W. ↑,
- 66', Regza M. ↓, Reginaldo Ramires ↑,
- 67', Mankenda G. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
- 71', Contreras A. 🟨,
- 80', Ankrah A. 🟨,
- 85', Iago Siqueira ↓, Galo O. ↑,
- 85', Grimaldo J. ↓, Muzinga N. ↑,
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils
10.6% | Draw
17.4% | Riga
71.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
BFC Daugavpils - Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.69 ↑
(8.3) |
5.3 ↑
(5.1) |
1.29 ↓
(1.32) |
8.2%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - Riga?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 5 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Riga (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 1.
- Recent performances by Daugavpils have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Riga is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Riga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Riga has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Riga is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 9:44. (average 0.5:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Riga?
BFC Daugavpils has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Riga won against BFC Daugavpils?
Riga has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Riga were as follows:
06.07.2025
Riga
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:1
14.05.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Riga
0:1
29.03.2025
Riga
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:2
19.10.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Riga
0:5
28.07.2024
Riga
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:0
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 81:21 | 60 | 86 |
| 2 | RFS | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 88:35 | 53 | 78 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 48:55 | -7 | 47 |
| 5 | Auda | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 39:41 | -2 | 44 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 37:62 | -25 | 31 |
| 8 | Grobina | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 30:56 | -26 | 30 |
| 9 | Super Nova | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 38:51 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Metta | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 31:69 | -38 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
