Result
29/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils
9.1% | Draw
17.3% | Riga
73.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
BFC Daugavpils - Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.02 ↑
(8.3) |
5.3 ↑
(5.1) |
1.24 ↓
(1.32) |
9.3%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 1.
- In recent matches, Daugavpils has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Riga is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Daugavpils may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Riga has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Riga is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 9:44. (average 0.5:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Riga?
BFC Daugavpils has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Riga won against BFC Daugavpils?
Riga has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Riga were as follows:
06.07.2025
Riga
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:1
14.05.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Riga
0:1
29.03.2025
Riga
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:2
19.10.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Riga
0:5
28.07.2024
Riga
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:0
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 30 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 77 |
| 2 | RFS | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 77:30 | 47 | 71 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 51:43 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | Auda | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 44 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:54 | -7 | 43 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33:40 | -7 | 33 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 36:48 | -12 | 26 |
| 9 | Grobina | 31 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 10 | Metta | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 30:63 | -33 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
