Result
4:2
14/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.98 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (422/499) | 64% (150/234) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.98 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.05 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (422/499) | 64% (150/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (22/41) | 41% (24/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (120/164) | 50% (36/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 3.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Reginaldo Ramires (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', 2 - 0, Galo O. ⚽, Salazar A. (A),
- 45+3', Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Kopilovs M. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
- 46', Pinaskins E. ↓, Mukwelle W. ↑,
- 46', Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. ↓, Kivinda D. ↑,
- 47', 3 - 0, Reginaldo Ramires ⚽,
- 52', 3 - 1, Sylla M. ⚽, Garzha A. (A),
- 55', 3 - 2, Garzha A. ⚽, Yakubu J. (A),
- 60', 4 - 2, Paulo Eduardo ⚽, Salazar A. (A),
- 69', Oulad M'Hand S. ↓, Caio Ferreira ↑,
- 69', Galo O. ↓, Varslavans R. ↑,
- 79', Sylla M. 🟨,
- 83', Mihalcovs G. 🟨,
- 84', Diop M. ↓, Pena B. ↑,
- 84', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Badamosi M. ↑,
- 84', Yakubu J. ↓, Dauksts R. ↑,
- 84', Skrebels R. ↓, Bujanovs K. ↑,
- 89', Iago Siqueira 🟨,
- 90+3', Papa 🟨,
Chances of winning
Riga
82.9% | Draw
11.9% | BFC Daugavpils
5.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Riga's performance.BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Riga - BFC Daugavpils Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.13 ↓
(1.24) |
7.86 ↑
(5) |
18.26 ↑
(10.5) |
6.5%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Riga - BFC Daugavpils?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Riga (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riga won 3.
- Daugavpils is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Riga is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Riga won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:9. (average 2.2:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Riga won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 26:4. (average 2.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Riga won against BFC Daugavpils?
Riga has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Riga?
BFC Daugavpils has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Riga - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
29.09.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Riga
0:1
06.07.2025
Riga
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:1
14.05.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Riga
0:1
29.03.2025
Riga
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:2
19.10.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Riga
0:5
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | RFS | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Jelgava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Grobina | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | Riga FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 8 | Ogre United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Super Nova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | BFC Daugavpils | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
