Result
1:1
21/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, Virsliga Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (295/407) | 80% (373/466) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (295/407) | 80% (373/466) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (28/65) | 52% (31/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (61/112) | 66% (108/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (18/21) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Toba J. ↓, Shibata S. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Oloko E. ⚽, Shibata S. (A),
- 51', Stals M. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Yakubu J. ⚽, Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. (A),
- 60', Traore A. ↓, Taty C. ↑,
- 65', Stals M. ↓, Volkovs K. ↑,
- 65', Deruzinskis R. ↓, Leoni ↑,
- 73', Melkis R. ↓, Valmiers D. ↑,
- 88', Reingolcs R. ↓, Klavins K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tukums 2000
31.5% | Draw
29.2% | BFC Daugavpils
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tukums 2000's form might have worsened.BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tukums 2000, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.48) |
3.18 ↓
(3.6) |
2.37 ↓
(2.39) |
7.5%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 1.
- Tukums 2000 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Daugavpils is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Tukums 2000 has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:37. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against BFC Daugavpils?
Tukums 2000 has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Tukums 2000?
BFC Daugavpils has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
30.08.2025
Tukums 2000
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:1
21.06.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Tukums 2000
1:2
30.04.2025
Tukums 2000
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:0
07.03.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Tukums 2000
3:0
21.09.2024
Tukums 2000
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:0
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 20 | 20 |
| 3 | Auda | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Super Nova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | FK Liepaja | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Grobina | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Jelgava | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
