Sofapaka vs Bidco United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
09/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 80', 1 - 0, ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Sofapaka
35.8%
Draw
33.6%
Bidco United
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 32.1% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 29.5% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Bidco United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bidco United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Sofapaka - Bidco United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.4)
    2.67
    (2.85)
    2.94
    (3.08)
    11.3%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 2.
    • Recent form of Sofapaka has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bidco United has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Bidco United were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Bidco United - Sofapaka 0:2
    02.03.2024 Bidco United - Sofapaka 1:1
    07.01.2024 Sofapaka - Bidco United 3:0
    22.04.2023 Sofapaka - Bidco United 0:2
    19.02.2023 Bidco United - Sofapaka 2:0
    Latest results of Sofapaka
    17.12.2025 Mathare United - Sofapaka 1:0
    14.12.2025 Sofapaka - Tusker 0:2
    07.12.2025 Kenya CB - Sofapaka 1:0
    29.11.2025 Sofapaka - APS Bomet 0:0
    Latest results of Bidco United
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia22154338:152349
    2Leopards22127330:141643
    3Shabana23117528:23540
    4Kakamega Homeboyz22108434:231138
    5Police FC23910420:14637
    6Muranga23106731:25636
    7Tusker23104921:24-334
    8Bandari23711519:17232
    9KCB2295822:23-132
    10Nairobi United1985625:20529
    11Mara Sugar22610623:23028
    12Mathare Utd23751117:22-526
    13Posta Rangers2259818:27-924
    14Kariobangi Sharks23410915:25-1022
    15Bidco United23481115:27-1220
    16Ulinzi Stars23471219:26-719
    17APS Bomet23471223:32-919
    18Sofapaka23351515:33-1814

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