Hamrun Spartans vs Birkirkara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:1
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - First stage - Top 6 - Round 14
  • Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
163
Shots on target
153
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
163
Shots on target
153
Shots off target
10
Corner Kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 36', 1 - 0, El Fanis M. ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Acheampong G. ,
  • 45+4', Ederson 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 0)
  • 46', El Fanis M. , Thioune S. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Garcia M. ,
  • 54', Lopez F. , Marjanovic S. ,
  • 57', Marjanovic S. 🟨,
  • 66', 3 - 1, Koffi N. ,
  • 71', 4 - 1, Garcia M. ,
  • 72', Bjelicic O. , Simkus D. ,
  • 72', Dimech S. , Busuttil J. ,
  • 74', 5 - 1, Mbong J. ,
  • 76', Ederson , Cadjenovic J. ,
  • 77', Xerri S. , Attard S. ,
  • 87', Mbong J. , Camilleri S. ,
  • 90', 6 - 1, Emerson ,

Chances of winning


Hamrun Spartans
54.1%
Draw
27.1%
Birkirkara
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 27.2% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 20.1% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamrun Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Birkirkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamrun Spartans that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.62)
    3.33
    (3.3)
    4.82
    (5.15)
    10.7%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 4.
    • Recent performances by Hamrun have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Birkirkara has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Birkirkara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hamrun has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Birkirkara has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Hamrun is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hamrun won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 0.9:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans 0:2
    10.05.2025 Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans 0:1
    05.04.2025 Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans 0:1
    01.02.2025 Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara 0:0
    23.11.2024 Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans 0:2
    Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
    Latest results of Birkirkara
    Maltese Premier League Table
    Second stage - Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana862016:41220
    2Hamrun853011:11018
    3Marsaxlokk84228:9-114
    4Gzira841311:9213
    5Naxxar841317:16113
    6Valletta833211:4712
    7Sliema83327:8-112
    8Birkirkara832310:7311
    9Hibernians83149:13-410
    10Zabbar81256:10-45
    11Tarxien81166:16-104
    12Mosta80171:16-151

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