Result
6:1
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - First stage - Top 6 - Round 14
- Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 36', 1 - 0, El Fanis M. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, Acheampong G. ⚽,
- 45+4', Ederson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (5 - 0)
- 46', El Fanis M. ↓, Thioune S. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Garcia M. ⚽,
- 54', Lopez F. ↓, Marjanovic S. ↑,
- 57', Marjanovic S. 🟨,
- 66', 3 - 1, Koffi N. ⚽,
- 71', 4 - 1, Garcia M. ⚽,
- 72', Bjelicic O. ↓, Simkus D. ↑,
- 72', Dimech S. ↓, Busuttil J. ↑,
- 74', 5 - 1, Mbong J. ⚽,
- 76', Ederson ↓, Cadjenovic J. ↑,
- 77', Xerri S. ↓, Attard S. ↑,
- 87', Mbong J. ↓, Camilleri S. ↑,
- 90', 6 - 1, Emerson ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hamrun Spartans 54.1% | Draw 27.1% | Birkirkara 18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamrun Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Birkirkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamrun Spartans that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↑ (1.62) |
3.33 ↑ (3.3) |
4.82 ↓ (5.15) |
10.7% (11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 4.
- Recent performances by Hamrun have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Birkirkara has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Birkirkara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Hamrun has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Birkirkara has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Hamrun is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hamrun won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 0.9:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hamrun Spartans won against Birkirkara?
Hamrun Spartans has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birkirkara won against Hamrun Spartans?
Birkirkara has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara were as follows:
01.11.2025
Birkirkara
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:2
10.05.2025
Birkirkara
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:1
05.04.2025
Birkirkara
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:1
01.02.2025
Hamrun Spartans
-
Birkirkara
0:0
23.11.2024
Birkirkara
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:2
Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
Latest results of Birkirkara
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 12 | 20 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 14 |
| 4 | Gzira | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Naxxar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Valletta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:4 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Sliema | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 12 | Mosta | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:16 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )