Floriana vs Hamrun Spartans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Second stage - Top 6 - Round 31
  • Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
29
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
42
Total shots
218
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
09
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Eleke B. ,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Scerri Z. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 24', Eleke B. 🟨,
  • 34', Polito V. 🟨,
  • 44', Areias R. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Areias R. , Piscopo E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Mbong P. , Beerman M. ,
  • 52', El Fanis M. , Jonny ,
  • 52', Camenzuli R. , Ederson ,
  • 62', Gamarra G. , Jah M. ,
  • 62', Vella D. , Grech J. ,
  • 63', Eleke B. , Serber K. ,
  • 69', Kurtalic A. , Vella Newell Z. ,
  • 71', Beerman M. 🟨,
  • 77', Mabea K. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Mbong J. ,
  • 80', Rodgers G. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 3, Mbong J. ,
  • 87', Guillaumier M. , Carboni M. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 4, Carboni M. ,

Chances of winning


Floriana
9%
Draw
19.2%
Hamrun Spartans
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 33.1% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 31.6% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Floriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Floriana's form might have worsened.
  • Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamrun Spartans's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (+19.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Floriana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-33.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamrun Spartans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Floriana - Hamrun Spartans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.21
    (3.42)
    4.77
    (2.78)
    1.27
    (2.3)
    9.3%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Floriana - Hamrun Spartans?
  • Users Predictions: Hamrun Spartans will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 0.
    • Floriana is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Hamrun has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Floriana has had a series of away games.
    • Hamrun will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 0 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 9:29. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Floriana won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:18. (average 0.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Floriana - Hamrun Spartans were as follows:
    01.03.2026 Hamrun Spartans - Floriana 1:1
    07.01.2026 Floriana - Hamrun Spartans 0:2
    29.10.2025 Floriana - Hamrun Spartans 1:3
    05.05.2025 Floriana - Hamrun Spartans 0:1
    21.04.2025 Floriana - Hamrun Spartans 0:0
    Latest results of Floriana
    18.04.2026 Floriana - Valletta 2:0
    15.04.2026 Marsaxlokk - Floriana 1:3
    11.04.2026 Naxxar Lions - Floriana 0:1
    14.03.2026 Birkirkara - Floriana 2:2
    Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
    Maltese Premier League Table
    Second stage - Top 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana16114128:121637
    2Marsaxlokk1694322:20231
    3Hamrun1684426:111528
    4Valletta1666421:13824
    5Gzira1663717:17021
    6Naxxar1655623:26-320