Result
1:4
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Top 6 - Round 31
- Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Eleke B. ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 1, Scerri Z. (Penalty Awarded),
- 24', Eleke B. 🟨,
- 34', Polito V. 🟨,
- 44', Areias R. 🟨,
- 45+1', Areias R. ↓, Piscopo E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Mbong P. ↓, Beerman M. ↑,
- 52', El Fanis M. ↓, Jonny ↑,
- 52', Camenzuli R. ↓, Ederson ↑,
- 62', Gamarra G. ↓, Jah M. ↑,
- 62', Vella D. ↓, Grech J. ↑,
- 63', Eleke B. ↓, Serber K. ↑,
- 69', Kurtalic A. ↓, Vella Newell Z. ↑,
- 71', Beerman M. 🟨,
- 77', Mabea K. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 2, Mbong J. ⚽,
- 80', Rodgers G. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 3, Mbong J. ⚽,
- 87', Guillaumier M. ↓, Carboni M. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 4, Carboni M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Floriana 9% | Draw 19.2% | Hamrun Spartans 71.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Floriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Floriana's form might have worsened.Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamrun Spartans's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (+19.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Floriana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-33.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamrun Spartans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Floriana - Hamrun Spartans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
10.21 ↑ (3.42) |
4.77 ↑ (2.78) |
1.27 ↓ (2.3) |
9.3% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Floriana - Hamrun Spartans?
Users Predictions:
Hamrun Spartans will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 0.
- Floriana is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Hamrun has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Floriana has had a series of away games.
- Hamrun will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 0 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 9:29. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Floriana won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:18. (average 0.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Floriana won against Hamrun Spartans?
Floriana has won 0 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamrun Spartans won against Floriana?
Hamrun Spartans has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Floriana - Hamrun Spartans were as follows:
01.03.2026
Hamrun Spartans
-
Floriana
1:1
07.01.2026
Floriana
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:2
29.10.2025
Floriana
-
Hamrun Spartans
1:3
05.05.2025
Floriana
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:1
21.04.2025
Floriana
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:0
Latest results of Floriana
Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Top 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 37 |
| 2 | Marsaxlokk | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:20 | 2 | 31 |
| 3 | Hamrun | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26:11 | 15 | 28 |
| 4 | Valletta | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Gzira | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Naxxar | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 20 |